ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells 1/32-Finals
Gigante – Fritz: 08.03.2025 20:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Matteo Gigante has won four of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, Gigante qualified for the main draw tournament, winning both qualifying matches in straight sets. The Italian defeated Baez in three tight sets in the opening main draw round.
Taylor Fritz has lost three of his last five matches. His last match was in Delray Beach, where he lost against Davidovich Fokina in the quarterfinals. It is his tenth appearance in Indian Wells. He was the champion here in 2022. Last season, Fritz lost against Rune in the fourth round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Fritz is the favorite in this matchup, and we agree. Gigante did his maximum and secured a solid result this week in Indian Wells. However, Fritz is a much better and more experienced player, and we expect him to dominate in this match.
That being said, Fritz covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Taylor Fritz -5.5 games handicap @2.10 @bet365
Tabilo – Lajovic: 08.03.2025 20:00 CEST
H2H: 0-1
Alejandro Tabilo has lost seven straight matches. His last match was in Santiago on clay, where he lost in the opening match against Coria in three tight sets. It is his fourth appearance in Indian Wells. He has never made it past the fourth round.
Dusan Lajovic has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, as we predicted, Lajovic defeated Tu in the opening round. It is his eleventh appearance in Indian Wells. He has never made it past the fourth round here.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be an almost 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Tabilo is in terrible form and has been winless since last season. On the other hand, Lajovic dominated in his opening match against Tu. We expect Dusan to be a better player tonight.
That being said, Lajovic winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Dusan Lajovic winning @1.72 @bet365
Rublev – Arnaldi: 08.03.2025 21:30 CEST
H2H: 2-1
Andrey Rublev has won four of his last five matches. His last match was in Dubai, where Halys upset him in the opening round. It is his ninth appearance in Indian Wells. Last season, Lehecka outlasted Rublev in the third round. Rublev has never made it past the semifinals here.
Matteo Arnaldi has won three of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, Arnaldi won in three tight sets against Kovacevic in the opening round. It is his third appearance in Indian Wells. Last season, Arnaldi lost against Alcaraz in the second round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Rublev is the slight favorite in this matchup, and we agree. The Russian has recently won the ATP 500 title in Doha. He is in solid form, and we expect him to dominate this match. He is a better hard-court player than Arnaldi.
That being said, Rublev winning in straight sets is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Andrey Rublev winning 2-0 @2.00 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports
