ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells 1/32-Finals
McDonald – Cerundolo: 08.03.2025 Time TBA
H2H: 0-2
Mackenzie McDonald has won four of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, McDonald won the opening-round match against Davidovich Fokina in three tight sets, as we predicted. It is his eighth appearance in Indian Wells. He has never made it past the second round.
Francisco Cerundolo has won three of his last five matches. His last match was in Santiago on clay, where he lost against Djere in the semifinals. It is his fourth appearance in Indian Wells. He was stopped in the third round last season against Shelton.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, McDonald is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He played well against Davidovich Fokina yesterday. On the other hand, Cerundolo played on clay for the last couple of weeks and will need time to adapt to the surface. We expect McDonald to be a better player tomorrow.
That being said, McDonald winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Mackenzie McDonald winning @2.10 @bet365
Dimitrov – Borges: 09.03.2025 Time TBA
H2H: 0-1
Grigor Dimitrov has lost four straight matches. His last match was in Dubai, where he retired mid-match against O’Connell in the opening round. It is his twelfth appearance in Indian Wells. He has never made it past the semifinals.
Nuno Borges has won three of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, Borges defeated Rinderknech in three sets. It is his third appearance in Indian Wells. He has never made it past the opening round. Last season, Borges lost against Fils in the first round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Dimitrov is in terrible form and has struggled with injuries. On the other hand, Borges played well yesterday against Rinderknech in the opening round. We expect him to be a better player in this matchup.
That being said, Borges winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Nuno Borges winning @1.80 @bet365
Draper – Fonseca: 08.03.2025 Time TBA
H2H: first meeting
Jack Draper has won four of his last five matches. His last match was in Doha, where he lost against Rublev in the final, as we had predicted. This will be his third appearance in Indian Wells. He has never made it past the fourth round. Last season, Draper lost against O’Connell in the opening round.
Joao Fonseca has won four of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, he beat Fearnley in three sets. It is his debut campaign in Indian Wells. The young Brazilian is one of the biggest upcoming talents on tour.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Fonseca is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. Draper has not played any competitive matches for the past two weeks. On the other hand, Fonseca is a dangerous opponent who loves playing on hard courts. We expect a tight match that could go either way.
That being said, Fonseca covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Joao Fonseca +2.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-Imagn Images
