ATP 500 Dallas 1/16-Finals
Carballes Baena – Mmoh: 05.02.2025 20:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Roberto Carballes Baena has won three of his last five matches. Two weeks ago in Melbourne, Roberto lost in the second round of the Australian Open against Paul in straight sets. Last week, Baena helped Spain win against Switzerland in the Davis Cup, as we predicted. In his last match, Roberto defeated Kym in straight sets. He offered and saved only one breakpoint. It is his first appearance in Dallas. He hopes for a solid result this week to get into the top 50.
Michael Mmoh has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Cleveland, Michael played his first competitive match since April 2024. Michael had a serious elbow injury, which kept him off the court for most of the 2024 season. He lost in the second round against Spizzirri in straight sets. This week in Dallas, Mmoh successfully qualified for the main draw tournament. He won both qualifying matches in straight sets. In the final qualifying round, Mmoh won against Georgiev in straight sets. It is his fourth appearance in Dallas. Last year, Michael lost against Shelton in the second round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Baena is the slight favorite in this matchup, and we agree. Mmoh was out for a long time. On the other hand, Baena played a couple of solid matches this season on hard courts. We expect Roberto to dominate in this match and win easily.
That being said, Baena winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Roberto Carballes Baena winning @1.67 @bet365
Opelka – Shevchenko: 05.02.2025 22:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Reilly Opelka has won three of his last five matches. The last match he played was at the Australian Open, where he lost against Machac in five tight sets. At the beginning of the season, Reilly reached the final in Brisbane, but he retired mid-match against Lehecka. Opelka has been suffering from injuries for the last couple of seasons. The big American hopes to stay fit and play without any back problems. In 2022, Opelka won the title in Dallas, winning against Brooksby in the final.
Alexander Shevchenko has won three of his last five matches. Three weeks ago in Melbourne, he lost in the opening round against Alcaraz in straight sets. Last week, he helped Kazakhstan win against Pakistan in the Davis Cup. It is his first appearance in Dallas. Around this time last year, he played in Rotterdam, losing against Dimitrov in the quarterfinals.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Opelka is the favorite in this matchup, and we agree. Reilly had a solid start to the season. He thrives on indoor hard courts and has already won the title in Dallas. On the other hand, Shevchenko has never had any success with indoor hard courts. We expect Opelka to dominate in this match and win easily.
That being said, Opelka winning in straight sets is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Reilly Opelka winning 2-0 @2.10 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports
