ATP 250 Montpellier quarterfinals
Bublik – Kovacevic: 31.01.2025 20:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Alexander Bublik has lost three of his last five matches. So far this season, Bublik has played two tournaments and lost in the opening round. Two weeks ago, as we predicted, Bublik lost against Cerundolo in the opening round of the Australian Open in straight sets. This week in Montpellier, Bublik won the opening match against Koepfer in straight sets. Bublik is the defending champion in Montpellier. Last year, Bublik won the title, winning against Coric in the final in three sets. If he wants to keep his top 50 status, Bublik needs to start winning.
Aleksandar Kovacevic has won four of his last five matches. Two weeks ago, he won the Challenger title in Oeiras, defeating Piros in the final in straight sets. In Montpellier, Kovacevic successfully qualified for the main draw tournament. As we predicted, Aleksandar defeated Goffin in three tight sets in the opening main draw round. Today, in the second round, Kovacevic won against Bellucci in three sets. It is his first appearance in Montpellier.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 match, but we disagree. Kovacevic is in great form, and we expect him to prolong his winning streak. Bublik has not had consecutive wins since the Wimbledon last year. He is too inconsistent at this moment. We believe that Kovacevic will be a better player tomorrow and win.
That being said, Kovacevic winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Aleksandar Kovacevic winning @2.00 @bet365
Bu – Auger-Aliassime: 31.01.2025 14:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Yunchaokete Bu has lost three of his last five matches. Two weeks ago in Melbourne, Bu had a favorable first-round draw at the Australian Open. However, he was upset by Habib in straight sets. In Montpellier, Bu won his opening-round match against Altmaier in straight sets, as we predicted. He offered and saved two breakpoints. Today, in the second round, he defeated Lestienne in straight sets, as we predicted. He offered and saved only one breakpoint. This is his first appearance here in Montpellier.
Felix Auger-Aliassime has won four of his last five matches. A few weeks ago in Adelaide, Felix won the title, winning against Korda in the final in three tight sets. With this title, Felix now has six ATP titles under his name. This week in Montpellier, Felix won the second-round match against Cazaux in straight sets. He trailed 2-5 in the second set tiebreak but turned it around. Last year in Montpellier, Felix reached the semifinals, losing against Bublik in three tight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Felix is the big favorite in this matchup, but we disagree. Bu dominated in the second round today. He thrives on fast courts. We expect a very tight match that could go either way.
That being said, Bu covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Yunchaokete Bu +3.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Peter van den Berg-USA TODAY Sports
