WTA Australian Open quarterfinals
Sabalenka – Pavlyuchenkova: 21.01.2025 09:00 CEST
H2H: 1-2
Aryna Sabalenka has won nine straight matches. At the beginning of the season, Sabalenka won the title in Brisbane, winning against Kudermetova in three tight sets. She has yet to lose a set in Melbourne this year. Aryna won her first two matches easily without any problems. However, in the third round against Tauson, Sabalenka struggled on the court. She lost her serve five times but still won in straight sets. Sabalenka trailed 3-5 in the first set but still won in straight sets. Yesterday in the 1/8-Finals, Aryna defeated Andreeva 6-1 6-2.
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova has won four of her last five matches. She won her first two matches in three tight sets. In the third round, Pavlyuchenkova defeated Siegemund in straight sets, saving all three breakpoints. Yesterday, in the 1/8-Finals, Anastasia won against Vekic in straight sets. This time, Pavlyuchenkova saved all five breakpoints and was great under pressure once again. Last year in Melbourne, Anastasia lost in the second round against Badosa in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Sabalenka is the big favorite in this matchup, and we partially agree. We expect her to win this match. However, Anastasia played and served well this week. She has nothing to lose, and we believe she will keep this match tight.
That being said, Pavlyuchenkova covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova +5.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365
Gauff – Badosa: 21.01.2025 01:30 CEST
H2H: 3-3
Coco Gauff has won 11 straight matches. She started this season by playing in the United Cup, winning all five matches. So far, Coco has had a favorable draw in Melbourne. She has yet to lose a set at the Australian Open this year. She has not lost a match this season, winning all eight matches. In the third round of the Australian Open, Coco defeated Fernandez in straight sets. Yesterday in the 1/8-Finals, Gauff defeated Bencic in three sets after losing the first set 5-7. Last year at the Australian Open, Coco lost against Sabalenka in the semifinals in straight sets.
Paula Badosa has won four of his last five matches. She won both of her opening matches in straight sets. Her toughest challenge was against Kostyuk in the third round. Paul defeated Kostyuk in three tight sets. Badosa was better under pressure in the deciding set and saved both breakpoints. Yesterday in the 1/8-Finals, Paul easily won against Danilovic in straight sets. Last year in Melbourne, Badosa lost against Anisimova in the tournament’s third round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Coco is the big favorite in this matchup, and we partially agree. Paula is slowly but surely coming back to her best level. We expect her to perform well once again and keep this match tight.
That being said, Badosa covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Paula Badosa +4.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
