ATP 250 Brisbane quarterfinals
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Mpetshi Perricard – Mensik: 03.01.2025 07:30 CEST
H2H: 1-0
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has won four of his last five matches. Here in Brisbane, Giovanni defeated Kyrgios in a three-set thriller. The Frenchman served 36 aces and held his serve throughout the whole match. It was overall an entertaining match, with Giovanni playing better under pressure. In the second round, Mpetshi Perricard won against Tiafoe in straight sets. He had a breakthrough season last season and hopes to continue in that fashion. Last year around this time, Giovanni played at the Challenger Tour level.
Jakub Mensik has lost three of his last five matches. The young Czech suffered at the Next Gen Finals, losing all three group-stage matches. Here in Brisbane, Jakub has had a favorable draw so far. In the first-round match, Mensik won against Kukushkin in straight sets. Besides losing his serve at the beginning of the match, Mensik served excellently. In the second round, Jakub defeated Lajovic in easy straight sets. Around this time last year, Mensik played at the Challenger Tour level.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this should be an almost 50-50 match. Giovanni faced tougher opponents so far en route to the quarterfinals. We believe he will be fully confident in this match, so we expect him to win.
That being said, Giovanni winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard winning @1.80 @bet365
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Djokovic – Opelka: 03.01.2025 11:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Novak Djokovic has won three of his last five matches. This will be a preparation tournament for the Serb, who hopes to deliver at his favorite tournament, the Australian Open. In his opening-round match, Djokovic defeated Hijikata in straight sets. Yesterday, in the second round, Nole won against Monfils and now holds a 20-0 winning record against the Frenchman. Around this time last year, Djokovic played in the United Cup.
Reilly Opelka has won three of his last five matches. Opelka has been suffering from injuries for the last couple of seasons. The prominent American hopes to stay fit and play without back problems. Here in Brisbane, Reilly won his opening-round match against Gomez in straight sets. He offered no break points and was serving great throughout the whole match. In the second round, Reilly had it hard against Arnaldi. Opelka was on the verge of losing the first set but broke his serve back and turned the first set around. Opelka ended up winning the match through two tiebreaks. The last time he played in Australia was in 2022.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Djokovic is a big favorite in this matchup, and we agree. However, we believe that Opelka will hold his service games comfortably and keep this match tight.
That being said, Reilly Opelka covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Reilly Opelka +4.5 games handicap @1.91 @bet365
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Main Photo Credit: Danielle Parhizkaran-USA TODAY Sports
