WTA French Open tennis moves into the third round on Friday. The weather in Paris is still hot, and it remains a big story until the weather cools off this coming weekend. This tournament has become a matter of physical survival as much as playing smart tennis. Elena Rybakina very clearly struggled in the heat. She rallied briefly when shadows provided some shade cover, but she still couldn’t get through her second-round match. The third round is probably going to be the final round before the weather finally becomes milder. Players who get through this round will have a real chance to make a deep run in Paris. LWOS has our best bets for three matches on Friday. Post your best bets and thoughts in the comments.
WTA French Open
Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchova: Time 7:00 EST
H2H: 1-1
Jil Teichmann faces Karolina Muchova. Teichmann has put together a good run this week in Paris. She didn’t have a great overall season coming into Roland-Garros, but she has looked good in two strong wins over Liudmila Samsonova and Magdalena Frech. Muchova, who did not play much in the weeks leading up to this tournament, has moved smoothly through the first two rounds, beating Anastasia Zakharova in the first round and then Kamilla Rakhimova in the second round, both in straight sets. Two in-form players battle for a spot in the Round of 16.
Best Bet to Make
The price for a Muchova 2:0 win is small, so this should be a game spread bet. The price for Muchova minus 5.5 games is 1.73, and the price for Teichmann plus 6.5 games is 1.69, so you could consider making both bets and hope to hit the middle (six-game spread). If we had to lean to one side, it’s Muchova. She is a much better player than Teichmann and has been in good form so far in this tournament, not losing a set. If Muchova does win this in straight sets, there’s a very good chance she will have won at least one set by a large margin. 6-4, 6-2 would be enough to cover her spread, so we will go in that direction.
That being said, betting on Muchova -5.5 games is a value bet for sure.
Value bet/ the best odds: Muchova -5.5 games @1.73 @10bet
Sierra – Cirstea: Time 7:00 EST
H2H: 0–1
Solana Sierra faces Sorana Cirstea. Sierra has had a great run through the first two rounds, beating Emma Raducanu and then No. 13 seed Jasmine Paolini. The win over Paolini was very impressive, with Sierra losing the first set but then winning the last two sets for one of her best wins of 2026. Sorana Cirstea is playing her last year on tour before calling it a career. Many people think she should reconsider her decision, since she is playing so well. She beat Aryna Sabalenka in Rome and has continued her good form in Paris. She has a great chance to make the semifinals in her part of the draw.
Best Bet to Make
Cirstea is clearly the better player, but one thing about Cirstea is that she has often lost when facing a lot of pressure. She could feel a lot of pressure here. If she gets nervous, Sierra can definitely win the match. On the other hand, if Cirstea just goes out there and plays the same good tennis she has been playing for the past several weeks, she should win this match decisively. We are going to trust that Cirstea will focus on the match and play well.
That being said, betting on Cirstea winning 2:0 is a value bet for sure.
Value bet/ the best odds: Cirstea winning 2:0 @1.76 @1xbet
Andreeva – Bouzkova: Time 7:30 EST
H2H: 4–0
Mirra Andreeva faces Marie Bouzkova. Andreeva struggled in her second-round match, losing the first set to Marina Bassols Ribera, but she regrouped and managed to win in three sets. Was that a case of Andreeva getting a little unfocused, or was it a matter of Bassols Ribera playing really well? Bouzkova is in good form. She has won two matches in straight sets at this tournament, the more recent win being over Francesca Jones. Bouzkova is in slightly better form, but Andreeva is a top-10 player and the more proven athlete in big tournaments.
Best Bet to Make
The price for Andreeva winning in straight sets is very small, so this should be a game spread bet. Andreeva minus 5.5 games is priced very reasonably. The price for Bouzkova plus 6.5 games is smaller than Andreeva minus 5.5, but it’s more likely to cash. Bouzkova is in very good form while Andreeva stumbled against Bassols Ribera before rallying to win. Andreeva could cover 6.5, but that’s a lot of games. If Bouzkova wasn’t in good form, Andreeva minus 6.5 would make a lot more sense. We’re going to lean to Bouzkova plus 6.5.
That being said, betting on Bouzkova +6.5 games is a value bet for sure.
Value bet/ the best odds: Bouzkova +6.5 games @1.62 @unibet
Main Photo Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images
