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Casper Ruud in action at the French Open.
May 11, 2026 By  Best Bets

ATP Rome Best Bets Including Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruud

The ATP Masters 1000 Rome Round of 16 on May 12 features several in-form clay-court players looking to continue impressive runs. Dino Prizmic enters with huge momentum after his breakthrough win over Novak Djokovic, while Casper Ruud looks well-positioned against an injured Lorenzo Musetti. Rafael Jodar has also been one of the standout performers of the tournament and should feel confident heading into his clash with Learner Tien.

ATP Masters 1000 Rome 1/8-Finals

Khachanov – Prizmic: 12.05.2026 11:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Karen Khachanov has won three of his last five matches. This week in Rome, Khachanov won the opening match against Shevchenko in straight sets. In the second round, the Russian turned the match around against van de Zandschulp after losing the opening set.

Dino Prizmic has won five straight matches. In the opening main draw round, the Croat defeated Fucsovics in straight sets. His biggest win of the career happened in the second round, defeating Djokovic in three sets. In the third round, Prizmic demolished Humbert in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Prizmic is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is in great form and has all the weapons to dominate against Khachanov in Rome. We expect him to win.

That being said, Prizmic winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Dino Prizmic winning @1.50 @bet365

Musetti – Ruud: 12.05.2026 11:00 CEST
H2H: 1-2

Lorenzo Musetti has won four of his last five matches. This week in Rome, the Italian defeated Mpetshi Perricard in the opening match in straight sets. In the third round, Musetti outlasted Cerundolo in straight sets.

Casper Ruud has won four of his last five matches. This week in Rome, Ruud defeated Svajda in the opening match in straight sets. The Norwegian won against Lehecka in the third round in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Ruud is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Musetti is coming into this match with an injury. Ruud is in solid form, and with Musetti not being 100% fully fit, we expect the Norwegian to win.

That being said, Ruud covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Casper Ruud -3.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365

Jodar – Tien: 12.05.2026 12:30 CEST
H2H: 1-0

Rafael Jodar has won four of his last five matches. This week in Rome, the Spaniard defeated Borges in straight sets in the opening match. In the third round, Jodar defeated Arnaldi in three sets.

Learner Tien has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Rome, the American won the opening match against Dzumhur in straight sets. In the third round, Tien turned the match around against Bublik after losing the opening set 4-6.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Jodar is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is in great form and a way better clay-court player than Tien. We expect him to dominate and get a comfortable straight-sets win.

That being said, Jodar covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Rafael Jodar -4.5 games handicap @1.80 @bet365

Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports

About David Barisic

Tennis coach and player based in Zagreb, Croatia, David has been covering tennis betting and predictions for years. He speaks 3 languages fluently (Croatian, English, German)! David wrote for ProTipster for years. David is currently writing for LWOS and Hardwood Heroics, and has been writing for tennis, NBA, and Premier League departments. He finds daily the best bets for you!