The ATP Masters 1000 Rome first round on May 6 offers a few intriguing value spots. Qualifier Francisco Comesana arrives with momentum and looks well placed against Jan-Lennard Struff. At the same time, Pablo Carreno Busta could make life difficult for Alejandro Tabilo thanks to his strong head-to-head edge. Meanwhile, despite limited recent action, Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has enough clay-court upside to stay competitive against qualifier Jacob Fearnley.
ATP Masters 1000 Rome 1/64-Finals
Struff – Comesana: 06.05.2026 14:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Jan-Lennard Struff has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Madrid, Struff lost to Michelsen in the second round in straight sets. He has never made it past the third round in Rome.
Francisco Comesana has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Rome, the Argentine qualified for the main draw of the tournament. In the final qualifying round, Comesana outlasted Riedi in three sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Comesana is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He played well in the qualifying tournament. On the other hand, Struff has played only three clay-court matches this season and has lost two. We expect the Argentine to be more consistent behind the baseline.
That being said, Comesana winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Francisco Comesana winning @1.57 @bet365
Carreno-Busta – Tabilo: 06.05.2026 15:30 CEST
H2H: 2-0
Pablo Carreno-Busta has won three of his last five matches. This week in Rome, the Spaniard qualified for the main draw of the tournament. In the final qualifying round, Wawrinka withdrew against him.
Alejandro Tabilo has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Aix en Provence, the Chilean won the Challenger title, defeating Bergs in the final in three sets. He was the semifinalist here in 2024.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Carreno-Busta is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He played well in the qualifying tournament and leads 2-0 in head-to-head meetings against Tabilo. We expect him to keep this match close.
That being said, Carreno-Busta covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Pablo Carreno-Busta +2.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365
Fearnley – Mpetshi Perricard: 06.05.2026 17:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Jacob Fearnley has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Rome, the Brit qualified for the main draw of the tournament. In the final qualifying round, Fearnley turned the match around against Kovacevic after losing the opening set.
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has lost three of his last five matches. The last match he played was almost two months ago in Miami, where he lost to Ugo Carabelli in the opening round in three sets. This will be his first clay-court match of the season.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Fearnley is the favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. Mpetshi Perricard is a solid clay-court player. He won the ATP title in Lyon in 2024 on clay. We expect him to keep this match close.
That being said, Mpetshi Perricard covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard +2.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Jonathan Hui-USA TODAY Sports
