The ATP Masters 1000 Monte Carlo 1/16 finals bring some interesting early clay-court spots. Cobolli looks solid here with his experience and should edge it, while Marozsan’s current form gives him a real advantage over Hurkacz. Vacherot, backed by the home crowd, could also keep things closer than expected, making it tricky.
ATP Masters 1000 Monte Carlo 1/16-Finals
Cobolli – Blockx: 08.04.2026 15:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Flavio Cobolli has won three of his last five matches. This week in Monte Carlo, Cobolli outlasted Comesana in three tight sets in the opening round after playing for almost three hours.
Alexander Blockx has won four of his last five matches. This week in Monte Carlo, Blockx qualified for the main draw tournament. In the opening main draw round, Blockx defeated Shapovalov in three sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Cobolli is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He enjoys playing on clay and will gradually improve his form at this part of the season. Cobolli has more weapons than Blockx on clay and also more experience.
That being said, Cobolli winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Flavio Cobolli winning @1.53 @bet365
Marozsan – Hurkacz: 08.04.2026 15:30 CEST
H2H: 0-1
Fabian Marozsan has won three of his last five matches. This week in Monte Carlo, Marozsan defeated Dzumhur in the opening round in straight sets. He served well, not offering any breakpoints.
Hubert Hurkacz has lost four of his last five matches. Before this week, the Pole was on a seven-match losing streak. This week in Monte Carlo, the Hungarian defeated Darderi in the opening round in three sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be an almost 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Marozsan demolished Dzumhur in the opening round and is a better clay-court player than Hurkacz. We expect him to be a better player today, considering his current form.
That being said, Marozsan winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Fabian Marozsan winning @1.73 @bet365
Musetti – Vacherot: 08.04.2026 15:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Lorenzo Musetti has won three of his last five matches. The last match he played was in Indian Wells, where he lost to Fucsovics in the opening match in straight sets. So far this season, the Italian has not played any clay-court matches. He was the finalist here last season, when he lost to Alcaraz in the final.
Valentin Vacherot has won three of his last five matches. This week in Monte Carlo, Vacherot defeated J.M. Cerundolo in three sets, after losing the opening set. Last season in Monte Carlo, Vacherot lost to Dimitrov in the second round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Vacherot is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He enjoys playing at home and has dominated in the second and third sets yesterday. If he serves well, we expect him to keep this match close.
That being said, Vacherot covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Valentin Vacherot +3.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
