The ATP Masters 1000 Monte Carlo 1/8-finals offer some strong value angles. Bublik looks like the fresher player and could take advantage of Lehecka’s long matches, while Berrettini’s level so far makes him a very dangerous underdog. Bergs is also in great form and should be able to keep things competitive against Zverev.
ATP Masters 1000 Monte Carlo 1/8-Finals
Lehecka – Bublik: 09.04.2026 14:00 CEST
H2H: 0-1
Jiri Lehecka has won four of his last five matches. This week in Monte Carlo, Lehecka won the opening match against Nava in three sets after playing for three hours. In the second round, the Czech defeated Tabilo after losing the opening set.
Alexander Bublik has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Monte Carlo, Bublik won the opening match against Monfils in straight sets. Besides losing his serve once, the Kazakh dominated on his serve.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Lehecka had two consecutive three-set thrillers and will be tired coming into this match. On the other hand, Bublik dominated in the opening match. We expect him to be a better player.
That being said, Bublik winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alexander Bublik winning @1.80 @bet365
Berrettini – Fonseca: 09.04.2026 11:00 CEST
H2H: 1-0
Matteo Berrettini has won three of his last five matches. This week in Monte Carlo, Bautista-Agut retired mid-match against Berrettini in the opening round. In the second round, the Italian demolished Medvedev in straight sets without losing a game.
Joao Fonseca has won three of his last five matches. This week in Monte Carlo, the Brazilian defeated Diallo in the opening match in straight sets. He trailed 1-3 in the second set, but turned it around. In the second round, Fonseca outlasted Rinderknech in three tight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Fonseca is the slight favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. Berrettini dominated in both matches this week and delivered his best tennis. We expect him to be a better player tomorrow.
That being said, Berrettini winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Matteo Berrettini winning @2.20 @bet365
Bergs – Zverev: 09.04.2026 11:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Zizou Bergs has won three of his last five matches. This week in Monte Carlo, Bergs defeated Mannarino in the opening round in straight sets. In the second round, the Belgian upset Rublev in straight sets. He was great under pressure, saving seven out of eight breakpoints.
Alexander Zverev has won four of his last five matches. This week in Monte Carlo, Zverev defeated Garin in three tight sets. He trailed 0-4 and 3-5 in the deciding set, but turned it around.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Bergs is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. Bergs dominated in both matches. On the other hand, Zverev struggled against Garin. We expect Bergs to keep this match close.
That being said, Bergs covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Zizou Bergs +4.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports
