There will be a new champion at ATP Gstaad with Greek #1 Stefanos Tsitsipas facing Belgian Raphael Collignon, who will be playing in his first main tour final. As always, we here at LWOT will be offering our prediction for the final, as well as the action at ATP Bastad, but who will succeed Alexander Bublik as the champion in Gstaad?
ATP Gstaad Final Prediction
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Raphael Collignon
Head-to-head: first meeting
Stefanos Tsitsipas has spent two years chasing the form that took him to the final at the Australian Open and the French Open, and earned him top three ranking, but it has been an undeniably difficult stretch for the Greek, who has looked a shadow of the player who was once competing for Grand Slam titles.
This week at the ATP Gstaad Open has finally handed him a mirror worth looking into, however, even if this only a small step in the right direction. His three-set grind past Arthur Rinderknech wasn’t always pretty, but his forehand is firing again and a victory over a player of Rinderknech’s quality is worth celebrating. The Frenchman, after all, has competed in a Masters 1000 final in the last 12 months. At any rate, the important point is that the Greek is back in a final for the first time since February 2025, and on clay where his career always made the most sense.
On the other side of the net will be Raphael Collignon. The Belgian’s run to Sunday’s fina; has been less a straight line and more a series of miracles – he was down 5-2 in the third against Juan Manuel Cerundolo, having to save a match point before reeling off five straight games to complete the heist 1-6 7-6 7-5 and claim a memorable win. It was the kind of comeback either signals a player discovering he belongs on this stage, or one who’s likely to run out of steam by the time the final arrives.
The Belgian has nothing to lose and a home continent crowd willing him on, but facing a rejuvenated Tsitsipas, fresh off consecutive deciding sets of his own, is a very different examination. Against a first-time finalist with everything to prove and nothing to lose, expect Tsitsipas to lean on experience and shot-making depth rather than nerves. Collignon will get his moments and maybe even a set, but Tsitsipas closes it out, sealing his 13th career title.
Prediction: Tsitsipas in 3
Main photo credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
