The ATP Masters 1000 Miami semifinals look very competitive. Lehecka could benefit from fresher legs after Fils’ long battles, making this closer than expected. Sinner remains the man to beat, but Zverev’s serving form gives him a solid chance to keep it tight.
ATP Masters 1000 Miami semifinals
Lehecka – Fils: 27.03.2026 20:00 CEST
H2H: 1-2
Jiri Lehecka has won four of his last five matches. This week in Miami, Lehecka won the opening match against Kouame in straight sets. He offered and saved three breakpoints. In the third round, the Czech defeated Quinn in straight sets, not offering any breakpoints. His toughest challenge happened in the 1/8-Finals. Lehecka upset Fritz in three tight sets. He played well under pressure, saving all five breakpoints he offered. In the quarterfinals, the Czech defeated Landaluce in a straight, close sets.
Arthur Fils has won four of his last five matches. This week in Miami, the Frenchman defeated Blanch in the opening match in straight sets. He offered no breakpoints. In the third round, Fils demolished Tsitsipas within an hour in straight sets. He offered and saved two breakpoints. In the 1/8-Finals, he won against Vacherot in three tight sets. Once again, Fils saved all breakpoints. His toughest challenge happened in the quarterfinals against Tommy Paul. After playing for three hours and saving four consecutive match points, Fils defeated Paul in three tiebreaks.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Lehecka is the slight underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. Fils had consecutive three-set thrillers and will have heavy legs coming into this match. We expect Lehecka to keep this match close.
That being said, Lehecka covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jiri Lehecka +1.5 games handicap @1.91 @bet365
Zverev – Sinner: 27.03.2026 22:00 CEST
H2H: 4-7
Alexander Zverev has won four of his last five matches. This week in Miami, Zverev defeated Damm in the opening match in straight sets. He served well, not offering any breakpoints. In the third round, Zverev defeated Cilic in three tight sets after playing for almost three hours. Once again, Zverev served well, hitting 19 aces and losing his serve only once. In the 1/8-Finals, the German defeated Halys in two tiebreaks. Cerundolo stood no chance against Zverev in the quarterfinals. The German won in straight sets, whilst losing only three games.
Jannik Sinner has won ten straight matches. Two weeks ago in Indian Wells, Sinner won the title without dropping a single set. This week in Miami, Sinner defeated Dzumhur in the opening match in straight sets. He served well, offering and saving only one breakpoint. In the third round, Sinner defeated Moutet in straight sets, without losing his serve. His toughest challenge happened in the 1/8-Finals against Michelsen. Sinner trailed 2-5 in the second set, but turned it around and won in straight sets. In the quarterfinals, Sinner demolished Tiafoe in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Sinner is the clear favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. Zverev dominated in the quarterfinals, serving well. If he plays his best tennis, Zverev will keep this match close.
That being said, Zverev covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alexander Zverev +4.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-Imagn Images
