The ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells 1/64-finals keep delivering tricky matchups with betting value on the board. Atmane looks dangerous again against Dimitrov after last week’s win, Borges aims to stop his losing streak against Nava, and rising talent Jodar faces Tabilo in their first meeting. With momentum and preparation playing key roles, we see smart value angles across this slate in the desert.
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells 1/64-Finals
Atmane – Dimitrov: 05.03.2026 20:00 CEST
H2H: 1-1
Terence Atmane has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Acapulco, Atmane lost to Kecmanovic in the quarterfinals in straight sets. Last season at the Indian Wells, the Frenchman failed to qualify for the main draw.
Grigor Dimitrov has lost four of his last five matches. So far this season, Dimitrov struggled with his form. Last week in Acapulco, Dimitrov lost to Atmane in the opening round in straight sets. Last season at the Indian Wells, Dimitrov lost to Alcaraz in the fourth round in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Atmane is the slight underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He played well last week in Acapulco, where he defeated Dimitrov in straight sets easily. We believe that if he serves well, the Frenchman will keep this match tight.
That being said, Atmane covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Terence Atmane +1.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Borges – Nava: 06.03.2026 00:30 CEST
H2H: 1-1
Nuno Borges has lost five straight matches. The last match he won was at the Australian Open. Last week in Acapulco, Borges lost to Tiafoe in the opening round in straight sets. Last season at the Indian Wells, Borges lost to Dimitrov in the second round in straight sets.
Emilio Nava has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Santiago, Nava lost to Cerundolo in the quarterfinals in straight sets. The last match he played on hard courts was at the Australian Open, where he lost to Norrie in the second round in four tight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Borges is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He had more time to prepare for the upcoming Masters 1000 at Indian Wells. On the other hand, Nava played last week on clay and has never advanced past the second round at the Masters 1000 level.
That being said, Borges winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Nuno Borges winning @1.57 @bet365
Tabilo – Jodar: 06.03.2026 00:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Alejandro Tabilo has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Santiago, Tabilo lost to Baez in the quarterfinals in straight sets. Last season at the Indian Wells, the Chilean lost to Fritz in the third round in three tight sets.
Rafael Jodar has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Acapulco, Jodar lost to Atmane in the second round, three tight sets to two. He has been granted a wild card for this week’s tournament in Indian Wells.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be an almost 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Jodar is one of the most significant upcoming Spanish talents. On the other hand, Tabilo has not played any hard-court matches since the Australian Open. We expect Jodar to be a better player.
That being said, Jodar winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Rafael Jodar winning @1.73 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports
