The semifinals of the ATP 250 in Santiago promise plenty of clay-court drama, with two exciting matchups on the schedule. Top seed Francisco Cerundolo looks to continue his dominant run against Yannick Hanfmann, while Sebastian Baez takes on Luciano Darderi in what should be a tight and competitive battle. With strong recent form on both sides and solid head-to-head history in play, fans can expect intense rallies and high-level tennis under the Chilean lights.
ATP 250 Santiago semifinals
Cerundolo – Hanfmann: 28.02.2026 22:00 CEST
H2H: 5-1
Francisco Cerundolo has won four of his last five matches. This week in Santiago, the Argentine defeated Moller in the opening round in straight sets. He offered no breakpoints throughout the match. In the second round, Cerundolo demolished Nava in straight sets. He saved both breakpoints and dominated on his serve. He is the first seed and the biggest favourite to win the title this week in Santiago.
Yannick Hanfmann has won four of his last five matches. This week in Santiago, Hanfmann demolished Lajovic in the opening round, winning 6-0, 6-3. In the second round, the German defeated Ugo Carabelli in straight sets. After losing his serve at the beginning of the match, Hanfmann stepped up his level and turned the match around. His toughest challenge came in the quarterfinals. After losing the opening set 3-6, Hanfmann turned the match around, winning the second and deciding set 6-2.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Cerundolo is the clear favourite in this matchup, and we agree. The Argentine has not lost a set this week and enjoys playing on clay. On the other hand, Hanfmann has already lost five times to him on clay and has struggled against Gaubas in the quarterfinals.
That being said, Cerundolo covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Francisco Cerundolo -4.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365
Baez – Darderi: 28.02.2026 23:30 CEST
H2H: 4-4
Sebastian Baez has won three of his last five matches. This week in Santiago, Baez outlasted Garin in the opening match in three tight sets after playing almost three hours. In the quarterfinals, the Argentine defeated Tabilo in straight sets. He offered and saved three breakpoints.
Luciano Darderi has won three of his last five matches. This week in Santiago, Darderi outlasted Navone in the opening match in three tight sets. He trailed 0-2 in the deciding set, but turned it around. In the second round, Darderi defeated Pellegrino in three sets. It was a similar match to his opening match, where he lost the second set and then dominated in the deciding set.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Baez is the slight underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. The Argentine has already defeated Darderi three times on clay. On the other hand, Darderi struggled in both matches this week in Santiago. We expect Baez to keep this match close.
That being said, Baez covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Sebastian Baez +2.5 games handicap @1.91 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: David Kirouac-USA TODAY Sports
