4. Francisco Cerundolo – 29%
Cerundolo remains one of the Tour’s most fascinating puzzles. At his peak, he’s a ball-striking machine who crushes opponents with exceptional shot-making and an uncanny ability to produce winners from impossible positions. The problem? Consistency. While he breaks serve at an elite rate, he also surrenders his own service games far too often, which severely undermines his overall results.
5. Sebastian Baez – 29%
Baez competes primarily on clay, where breaks of serve happen more frequently, which does inflate this figure somewhat. He doesn’t maintain this level on other surfaces, but we have to acknowledge what the numbers show. He’s legitimately one of the tour’s top ten clay court specialists, and this stat reflects that specialization.
6. Tommy Paul – 28%
Paul is a pure momentum player, similar to Cerundolo. When he’s feeling it, he’ll dismantle anyone in front of him, and he’s proven capable of doing exactly that even against elite opposition. The challenge is sustainability. He rarely maintains that level beyond a few matches, but when everything clicks, he can be as overwhelming as anyone on tour.
7. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – 27%
Davidovich Fokina is gradually finding his footing at this level. Yes, he remains frustratingly inconsistent and squanders too many opportunities within matches, but the Spaniard breaks serve at an elite rate and does so across multiple surfaces, which is noteworthy. If he could just hold his own serve more reliably, he’d be a legitimate top ten player. That remains within reach, and 2026 might be the year he finally puts it all together.
