The final four in Turin are set, with Jannik Sinner, winner of the Bjorn Borg group, taking on Alex de Minaur, runner-up in the Jimmy Connors group, in the first semifinal.
The Italian has not only gone unbeaten in the round-robin stage but is riding a historic 29-match winning streak on indoor hard courts. de Minaur, meanwhile, advanced with a helping hand from Carlos Alcaraz, qualifying for the semifinals despite a 1–2 showing in the round-robin stage. Here is your complete match guide.
Jannik Sinner vs Alex de Minaur Match Guide
Head-to-Head
These two have already met a dozen times despite both being under 27, and the rivalry has been one-way traffic. Jannik Sinner leads their head-to-head 12–0, making it one of the most lopsided matchups in ATP history. The Italian again enters as the clear favourite, though, as tennis reminds us time and again, anything can happen on the day.
Roads to the Semifinal
Sinner has been at his very best this week, winning all three round-robin matches in straight sets, each against some of the biggest servers on tour. His level on hard courts throughout 2025 has been exceptional, losing just one completed match all season. While he narrowly missed out on the year-end No.1 to Carlos Alcaraz, this week has felt like a celebration of Sinner’s dominance in front of his home fans.
de Minaur has endured a rollercoaster week, both physically and mentally. In his opener, he had the first set on his racket against Alcaraz but couldn’t convert, losing in straight sets. His second outing was even tougher: a third-set lead and a chance to serve out the match slipped away. Everything shifted on Thursday, when he delivered arguably his best performance of the year to beat Taylor Fritz in straight sets, before ultimately sneaking into the semifinals thanks to Alcaraz’s victory over Lorenzo Musetti.
Match Time
This will be the first singles semifinal on Saturday, scheduled for no earlier than 2:30 PM local time (8:30 AM in New York, 1:30 PM in London).
Broadcast Info
In North America, the match will air on Tennis Channel in the United States and on TSN in Canada, while Australian viewers can watch on beIN Sports Australia.
Across Europe, coverage will be available on Sky UK in the United Kingdom, Sky Deutschland in Germany, Eurosport France in France, Sky Italia in Italy, and Movistar in Spain.
The match will also stream live and on demand worldwide on TennisTV, and the complete list of broadcast partners is available on the tournament’s official website.
Preview
Alex de Minaur brings his trademark stability—solid off both wings, exceptional movement, and the ability to extend rallies against anyone. The issue is that Jannik Sinner typically displays those same qualities at a higher, more efficient level, which has shaped their head-to-head. de Minaur has won just two of the 29 sets these players have played so far.
Their meeting earlier this year in Beijing showed de Minaur at his most aggressive and creative, and he pushed Sinner for stretches, taking one of those aforementioned two sets. But even then, Sinner managed the big points and held control when it mattered most.
Heading into Turin’s semifinal, the matchup remains defined by similar skill sets performed at different magnitudes (check out our prediction). On paper, it is an uphill battle for the Aussie, but he enters this match with virtually nothing to lose. A free-swinging opponent can be dangerous, and Sinner will know he cannot take anything for granted.
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey – Imagn Images
