We have now reached the semifinals of the WTA Finals. The final four will be Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakina and Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimova. Illness has taken out a couple of individuals, so it will be interesting to see if everyone can make it until the end. Here are the best bets for the semifinals. Please share your thoughts in the comments.
Pegula – Rybakina: Time 16:00
H2H: 3-2
Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakina will meet for the sixth time in their careers. This is their second meeting at the WTA Finals; their first was in the group stage in 2023. Pegula won that match in straight sets. Rybakina has been outstanding in 2025, winning two titles, including one at WTA Ningbo right before the WTA Finals. She also reached the semis at the WTA Tokyo tournament. Pegula is also coming off a final and a semifinal, except Pegula lost her final to Coco Gauff at WTA Wuhan, and, like Rybakina, she also has a loss to Linda Noskova in a semifinal. Pegula is 7-3 in her last ten matches, and Rybakina is 9-1, and her only loss a walkover.
Best Bet to Make
The books have Rybakina as the favorite in this match, and I agree. I actually think Rybakina is the second-most likely to win this tournament behind Aryna Sabalenka. Of their five matches, only one has gone to a third set. It would seem wise to take the under on 2.5 sets or take Rybakina at 2:0, depending on the values. The under on 2.5 sets is the same as taking Rybakina straight up. If you’re looking to cash out, it’s Rybakina 2:0 that you want at 2.5 on Bet365. I like the 2.5 bet because it’s bolstered by the under on 2.5 sets, and Rybakina straight. You can draw a line from Rybakina straight up to Rybakina in straight sets, and that’s an easy bet.
That being said, Rybakina winning 2:0 is a value bet for sure.
Value bet/the best odds: Rybakina winning 2:0 @2.5 @Bet365
Sabalenka – Anisimova: Time 16:30
H2H: 4-6
Aryna Sabalenka and Amanda Anisimova will meet for the eleventh time. Sabalenka has played Ansimova in three Majors this year, winning two of the matches. She won the US Open final in a straight-set tiebreak. She lost a three-set semifinal match at Wimbledon, and she won a round of 16 match at the French Open. It’s weird to think that Ansimova led this rivalry 5-2 when the year began. While the two of them have met in every major, this is their first meeting at a WTA Final event. Sabalenka is 9-1 in her last ten matches, Anisimova is 8-2 in hers.
Best Bet to Make
Sabalenka is the favorite here for a reason. She’s been a one-woman wrecking ball all year long. She’s only lost eleven matches all year long. Yes, the two of them have a strong rivalry, but Sabalenka has every reason to give this match her best effort. When they’re playing in the quarterfinals or later, Sabalenka is 2-2 with Anisimova. If it feels like I’m repeating myself, it’s because I absolutely am. Sabalenka has been working and building toward this moment. She’s the World No. 1 and the US Open champion. She’s won four events this year. She’s been a finalist and a two-time semifinalist at this event for the last two years. This is the year she should win it all.
That being said, Sabalenka winning is a value bet for sure.
Value bet/the best odds: Sabalenka winning @1.50 @Pinnacle
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports
