ATP 250 Mallorca semifinals
Griekspoor – Auger-Aliassime: 27.06.2025 15:30 CEST
H2H: 0-2
Tallon Griekspoor has won four of his last five matches. His last match before the ATP Mallorca was at the French Open when he retired against Zverev mid-match in the fourth round. This week in Mallorca, the Dutch defeated Quinn in straight sets in the opening round. He served great, offering only one breakpoint. In the quarterfinals, Griekspoor defeated Diallo in straight sets. The Dutch offered and saved only one breakpoint. His last appearance in Mallorca was in 2022 when he lost against Bellier in the quarterfinals in three tight sets.
Felix Auger-Aliassime has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Halle, the Canadian lost to Khachanov in the 1/8 finals in three sets. This week in Mallorca, Auger-Aliassime won against Rinderknech in straight sets in the opening round. He served well, offering only one breakpoint throughout the match. Today, in the quarterfinals, the Canadian defeated Medjedovic in three sets after losing the opening set. In the deciding set, Auger-Aliassime was great under pressure, saving all three breakpoints. This is his debut campaign in Mallorca.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Auger-Aliassime is the favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. Griekspoor dominated in both matches this week. We expect a tight match that could go either way.
That being said, Griekspoor covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Tallon Griekspoor +1.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Moutet – Michelsen: 26.06.2025 18:00 CEST
H2H: 1-0
Corentin Moutet has won four of his last five matches. Last week in London, Moutet lost against Fearnley in the 1/8-Finals in three sets. This week in Mallorca, the Frenchman defeated Martinez in the opening round in three sets. After losing the opening set 4-6, Moutet turned the match around, dominating in the second and third sets. In the second round, the Frenchman defeated Altmaier in straight sets. He trailed 4-5 in the second set but immediately broke back and won through two tiebreaks. Today, in the quarterfinals, Moutet defeated Tien in straight sets. He trailed 1-3 in the second set but turned it around.
Alex Michelsen has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Halle, Michelsen had a decent run, reaching the quarterfinals. He eventually lost against Medvedev in straight sets. This week in Mallorca, Michelsen won both main draw matches in straight sets easily. Today, in the quarterfinals, the American defeated Bautista-Agut in straight sets. He served great, saving two out of three breakpoints. Last season in Mallorca, the American lost against Ofner in the quarterfinals in three tight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Michelsen is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He dominated today against Bautista-Agut. The American enjoys playing on grass courts and has a breakthrough season. On the other hand, Moutet had a favourable draw so far. We expect him to struggle against Michelsen tomorrow.
That being said, Michelsen winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alex Michelsen winning @1.57 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images
