ATP 250 Eastbourne semifinals
Humbert – Brooksby: 27.06.2025 16:00 CEST
H2H: 1-0
Ugo Humbert has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Halle, Humbert lost in the opening round against Shapovalov in three tight sets. This week in Eastbourne, the Frenchman defeated Sonego in straight sets in the opening round. He served great, not offering any breakpoints throughout the match. In the quarterfinals, Humbert won against Harris in straight sets. After winning the opening set 7-6, the Frenchman demolished Harris 6-1 in the second set. Around this time last season, Humbert played in Mallorca, losing against Bautista-Agut in the opening round.
Jenson Brooksby has won three of his last five matches. This week in Eastbourne, Brooksby failed to qualify for the main draw tournament. However, with several players withdrawing from the tournament, the Brit entered the main draw tournament as a lucky loser. In the main draw, Brooksby won all three matches in straight sets. After winning against Comesana and Borges, the Brit defeated Evans in the quarterfinals 6-2 6-3. He offered no breakpoints and dominated from the start until the end. His last appearance in Eastbourne was in 2022 when he lost against Draper in the opening round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Humbert is the favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. Brooksby entered the main draw as a lucky loser and played without any pressure in the main draw. He won all matches in straight sets and improved after each match. We expect him to keep this match tight.
That being said, Brooksby covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jenson Brooksby +2.5 games handicap @1.91 @bet365
Davidovich Fokina – Fritz: 17:30 CEST
H2H: 3-2
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has won three of his last five matches. This week in Eastbourne, the Spaniard defeated Tseng in the opening round in straight sets. He was great under pressure, saving both breakpoints. In the second round, Davidovich Fokina defeated Duckworth in three tight sets. After losing the opening set 6-7, the Spaniard stepped up his level and turned the match around. Today, in the quarterfinals, Davidovich Fokina upset Mensik in straight sets. He was solid under pressure, saving six out of seven breakpoints.
Taylor Fritz has won four of his last five matches. Last week in London, Moutet upset him in the opening round in three tight sets. A week before, Fritz won the title in Stuttgart. He is the defending champion in Eastbourne. He defeated Purcell last season in the final. This week in Eastbourne, Fritz won both matches in three tight sets. Today, in the quarterfinals, he won against Giron in three tight sets after spending almost three hours on the court.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Fritz is the favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. He played two matches today and will be exhausted. On the other hand, Davidovich Fokina defeated tough opponents this week, and we expect him to be fully confident coming into this match. We believe the Spaniard will keep this match tight.
That being said, Davidovich Fokina covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina +3.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
