ATP French Open 1/16-Finals
Musetti – Navone: 30.05.2025 11:00 CEST
H2H: 1-1
Lorenzo Musetti has won four of his last five matches. This week in Paris, the Italian won both matches in straight sets. In the second round, Galan had no answer for Musetti’s game. The Italian won in straight sets within two hours.
Mariano Navone has won three of his last five matches. This week in Paris, Navone won the opening round against Nakashima in four tight sets. In the second round, the Argentine won against Opelka in straight sets yesterday. He saved five set points in the second set.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Musetti is the big favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. Navone is a solid clay-court player, and we expect him to put up a big fight. Last year in Cagliari on clay, Navone defeated Musetti in straight sets. We expect a tight match tomorrow.
That being said, Navone covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Mariano Navone +7.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365
Borges – Popyrin: 30.05.2025 12:30 CEST
H2H: 1-1
Nuno Borges has won three of his last five matches. This week in Paris, Borges won the opening round against Jacquet in five tight sets after trailing 0-2. He spent almost four hours on the court. Borges upset Ruud in four sets in the second round after losing the opening set 2-6.
Alexei Popyrin has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Geneva, Popyrin had a decent run, reaching the quarterfinals. This week at the French Open, Nishioka retired mid-match against him in the opening round. The Australian dominated against Tabilo in the second round, winning in straight sets. Last season, Popyrin lost against Kokkinakis in the opening round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Borges is the slight underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He is a better clay-court player than Popyrin. Borges will be fully confident coming into this match after defeating Ruud, and we expect him to be a better player tomorrow.
That being said, Borges winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Nuno Borges winning @2.20 @bet365
Khachanov – Paul: 30.05.2025 12:30 CEST
H2H: 0-2
Karen Khachanov has won three of his last five matches. This week in Paris, Khachanov won the opening round against Vukic in straight sets. Yesterday, in the second round, the Russian defeated Ofner in five tight sets after spending four hours on the court.
Tommy Paul has won four of his last five matches. This week in Paris, the American won against Moller in four sets after losing the opening set 6-7. In the second round, Fucsovics led 2-0 against Paul, but the American turned the match around.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be an almost 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Paul is a better player than Khachanov and handles the pressure better. He leads 2-0 in head-to-head meetings, and we expect him to win.
That being said, Paul winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Tommy Paul winning @2.10 @bet365
