ATP 250 Geneva 1/16-Finals
Arnaldi – Gaston: Time TBA
H2H: first meeting
Matteo Arnaldi has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Rome, Bautista-Agut upset Arnaldi in straight sets. He made too many unforced errors, which is why he lost. This will be his debut campaign in Geneva.
Hugo Gaston has lost four of his last five matches. So far this season, the Frenchman has not had any remarkable results and has struggled with his form since the beginning. Last week in Bordeaux, Gaston lost against Atmane in the 1/8-Finals.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Arnaldi is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He struggled in Rome, but we expect him to pick up his form before the French Open. The young Italian is a clay-court specialist who feels comfortable playing at the ATP 250 level. We believe Arnaldi will dominate and win easily.
That being said, Arnaldi winning in straight sets is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Matteo Arnaldi winning 2-0 @2.00 @bet365
Borges – Michelsen: Time TBA
H2H: 1-1
Nuno Borges has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Rome, Borges lost in the opening round against Seyboth Wild in three sets. So far this season, he has not had any remarkable results on clay.
Alex Michelsen has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Rome, Michelsen lost his opening-round match against Djere in straight sets. A week before, the young American won the Challenger title on clay in Estoril.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be an almost 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Borges is a better clay-court player overall than Michelsen. He is more experienced and enjoys playing on clay courts. On the other hand, Michelsen is an American who played mostly on hard courts.
That being said, Borges winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Nuno Borges winning @1.73 @bet365
Cazaux – Hurkacz: Time TBA
H2H: 0-1
Arthur Cazaux has lost three of his last five matches. His last match was over two months ago in Indian Wells, where he lost against Galarneau in the qualifying tournament. The Frenchman struggled with injuries for the past couple of years. This will be his third appearance in Geneva.
Hubert Hurkacz has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Rome, the Pole had a decent run, reaching the quarterfinals. Paul eventually stopped him, losing in straight sets. Around this time last season, Hurkacz had not played any preparational tournaments for the upcoming French Open.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Hurkacz is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is in solid form and has played well last week in Rome. On the other hand, Cazaux is fighting with injuries and has not played any competitive matches in the past two months.
That being said, Hurkacz winning in straight sets is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Hubert Hurkacz winning 2-0 @1.91 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
