ATP Masters 1000 Rome 1/8-Finals
Sinner – Cerundolo: 13.05.2025 15:00 CEST
H2H: 2-2
Jannik Sinner has won 26 straight matches. He is returning to competitive tennis after serving a three-month suspension related to anti-doping procedures. This week in Rome, Sinner easily won his opening-round match against Navone in straight sets. In the third round, he defeated de Jong in straight sets.
Francisco Cerundolo has won four of his last five matches. This week in Rome, Cerundolo won the opening match against Jarry in straight sets. Ofner also had no answer for Cerundolo’s game in the third round. Last season in Rome, Khachanov stopped him in the third round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Sinner is the big favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. Cerundolo is a clay-court specialist in great form. He has already defeated Sinner twice. We expect him to put up a big fight and keep this match tight.
That being said, Cerundolo covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Francisco Cerundolo +4.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365
Paul – De Minaur: 13.05.2025 18:30 CEST
H2H: 0-5
Tommy Paul has won four of his last five matches. This week in Rome, Paul won the opening round match against Bautista-Agut in straight sets. He struggled in the third round against Machac, winning in three tight sets.
Alex de Minaur has won four of his last five matches. This week in Rome, de Minaur won both matches in straight sets but also had a favourable draw.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, de Minaur is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is a better clay-court player than Paul. De Minaur played on clay courts in Spain under similar conditions for several years. On the other hand, Paul never succeeded on clay courts.
That being said, de Minaur winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alex de Minaur winning @1.53 @bet365
Munar – Ruud: 13.05.2025 20:30 CEST
H2H: 1-5
Jaume Munar has won three of his last five matches. This week in Rome, Munar demolished Shelton in the second round. He easily defeated Korda in straight sets in the third round, as we had predicted. The Spaniard lost against Norrie in the second round last season in Rome.
Casper Ruud has won eight straight matches. Last week in Madrid, Ruud won the Masters 1000 title, defeating Draper in the final. This week in Rome, Ruud had to fight hard against Bublik in the second round. After losing the second set 4-6, the Norwegian served great in the third round and deservedly won. In the third round, Berrettini retired mid-match against Ruud.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Ruud is the big favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. He played many matches in the last couple of weeks and will probably not be fully fit for this match. On the other hand, Munar played his best tennis this week in Rome, and we expect him to keep this match tight.
That being said, Munar covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jaume Munar +4.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports
