ATP Masters 1000 Rome 1/32-Finals
Norrie – Medvedev: 09.05.2025 14:00 CEST
H2H: 0-3
Cameron Norrie has won three of his last five matches. This week in Rome, Norrie lost in the final qualifying round against Lajovic in three tight sets. However, with several players withdrawing from the tournament, Norrie entered the main draw as a lucky loser. The Brit won against O’Connell in straight sets in the opening main draw round.
Daniil Medvedev has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Madrid, he reached the quarterfinals but lost against Ruud in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Medvedev is the big favourite in this match, but we disagree. Both players do not enjoy playing on clay. However, Norrie played well in the opening round against O’Connell. We expect him to put up a big fight and keep this match tight.
That being said, Norrie covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Cameron Norrie -3.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365
Musetti – Virtanen: 09.05.2025 14:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Lorenzo Musetti has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Madrid, he had a great run. However, he was eventually stopped in the semifinals, losing against Draper in straight sets.
Otto Virtanen has won three of his last five matches. This week in Rome, Virtanen qualified for the main draw tournament. In the opening main draw round, he defeated Medjedovic in straight sets. He was great under pressure, saving eight out of nine breakpoints.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Musetti is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is in solid form and enjoys playing on clay. He will also have a packed crowd on his side. We expect Musetti to be a better player throughout the match and win easily.
That being said, Musetti covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Lorenzo Musetti -5.5 games handicap @2.10 @bet365
Ugo Carabelli – Zverev: 09.05.2025 20:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won three of his last five matches. This week in Rome, the Argentine defeated Carreno-Busta in three sets. He trailed 0-2 in the deciding set but turned it around. Last season in Rome, Ugo Carabelli failed to qualify for the main draw tournament.
Alexander Zverev has won four of his last five matches. His last match was in Madrid, where he lost in straight sets against Cerundolo in the 1/8-Finals. Zverev is the second seed this week in Rome. He is the defending champion in Rome. Last season, Zverev defeated Jarry in the final in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Zverev is the big favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. So far this season, Zverev has struggled at the biggest tournaments. On the other hand, Ugo Carabelli is playing his best tennis and is confident. We expect him to keep this match tight.
That said, Ugo Carabelli covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Camilo Ugo Carabelli +5.5 games handicap @1.67 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
