ATP Masters 1000 Rome 1/32-Finals
Muller – Tsitsipas: 09.05.2025 12:30 CEST
H2H: 0-1
Alexandre Muller has won three of his last five matches. This week in Rome, he won against Lehecka in three tight sets after saving two match points. Last season in Rome, Muller reached the fourth round as a qualifier, eventually losing against Jarry in straight sets.
Stefanos Tsitsipas has won three of his last five matches. His last match was in Madrid, where he lost against Musetti in the third round. Last season in Rome, Tsitsipas lost against Jarry in the quarterfinals.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Tsitsipas is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He enjoys playing in Rome, where he always delivers his best tennis. On the other hand, Muller struggled against Lehecka in the opening round, spending over two hours on the court. We believe Tsitsipas will win in straight sets.
That being said, Tsitsipas winning in straight sets is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Stefanos Tsitsipas winning 2-0 @1.83 @bet365
Thompson – Nakashima: 09.05.2025 11:00 CEST
H2H: 2-4
Jordan Thompson has lost three of his last five matches. His last match before ATP Rome was in Monte Carlo, where he lost in three sets against Tsitsipas in the 1/16-Finals. This week in Rome, Thompson defeated Mpetshi Perricard in three sets.
Brandon Nakashima has lost three of his last five matches. His last match was in Madrid, where he lost against Medvedev in the 1/8-Finals.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Nakashima is the favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. Both players are great hard-court players but have never succeeded on clay. Thompson played solidly in the opening round against Mpetshi Perricard, and we expect him to keep this match tight.
That being said, Thompson covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jordan Thompson +2.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365
Popyrin – Taberner: 09.05.2025 12:30 CEST
H2H: 1-0
Alexei Popyrin has lost three straight matches. Last week in Aix en Provence, Popyrin lost in the opening round of the Challenger tournament against Wawrinka in three sets. Last season in Rome, Popyrin lost in the opening round against Medjedovic in straight sets.
Carlos Taberner has won four of his last five matches. This week in Rome, the Spaniard qualified for the main draw tournament. Taberner defeated Kovacevic in three tight sets in the opening main draw round. He trailed 3-5 in the deciding set but turned it around. He hopes for a solid result this week to return to the top 100.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Popyrin is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Taberner is a Challenger Tour player who has never succeeded at the highest level. On the other hand, Popyrin thrives on the highest stage. We expect Popyrin to be a better player and win comfortably.
That being said, Popyrin covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alexei Popyrin -2.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
