ATP Masters 1000 Madrid semifinals
Cerundolo – Ruud: 02.05.2025 Time TBA
H2H: 5-3
Francisco Cerundolo has won four of his last five matches. This week in Madrid, the Argentine easily won the opening two matches in straight sets. Cerundolo prolonged his winning streak against Zverev in the 1/8-Finals, winning in straight sets. Today, Mensik won the opening set 6-3 in the quarterfinals. However, Cerundolo stayed calm and turned the match around, winning in three tight sets. With this victory, the Argentine achieved his best result in Madrid.
Casper Ruud has won four of his last five matches. The Norwegian won all four matches in straight sets this week in Madrid. Ruud defeated Fritz in the 1/8-Finals 7-5 6-4. He was a better player throughout the whole match. Today, in the quarterfinals, he defeated Medvedev in straight sets. Ruud was great under pressure, saving both breakpoints he offered. Last season in Madrid, Ruud reached the fourth round, losing against Auger-Aliassime in straight sets.
Best Bets to Make
Main Bet
According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Cerundolo spent over two hours today against Mensik and struggled on the court with unforced errors. Ruud won all four matches in straight sets and the last two meetings on clay against Cerundolo in straight sets. We expect Ruud to be a better player and win.
That being said, Ruud winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Casper Ruud winning @1.80 @bet365
Extra Bet
bet365 offers a betting boost on Ruud winning in straight sets. We expect Ruud to dominate in this match as he is more rested than Cerundolo. If you love to take risks, there is value in Ruud winning in straight sets.
That being said, Ruud winning in straight sets is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Casper Ruud winning 2-0 @3.50 @bet365
Draper – Musetti: 02.05.2025 20:00 CEST
H2H: 4-0
Jack Draper has won four of his last five matches. Draper won the opening match against Griekspoor this week in Madrid in straight sets. He offered and saved only one breakpoint. Berrettini retired against Draper in the third round after losing the opening set 6-7. Arnaldi had no answer for the Brit’s game today in the quarterfinals. Draper was relentless on his serve, not offering any breakpoints.
Lorenzo Musetti has won four of his last five matches. This week in Madrid, Musetti won all four matches in straight sets. En route to the quarterfinals, Musetti defeated Etcheverry, Tsitsipas and de Minaur. Today, in the quarterfinals, Musetti easily defeated Diallo in straight sets. He trailed 2-4 in the opening round but turned it around.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Draper is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is playing his best tennis this week in Madrid. The Brit enjoys playing on fast clay courts. Draper leads 4-0 against Musetti in the head-to-head meetings. We expect Draper to prolong his winning streak against Musetti.
That being said, Draper winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jack Draper winning @1.50 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
