ATP Masters 1000 Madrid 1/16-Finals
Korda – Ruud: 27.04.2025 Time TBA
H2H: 1-0
Sebastian Korda has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Madrid, Korda defeated Cina in the opening round in three sets.
Casper Ruud has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Barcelona, Ruud lost against Rune in the quarterfinals in straight sets. This week in Madrid, the Norwegian defeated Rinderknech in straight sets in the opening round. Last season in Madrid, Ruud reached the fourth round, losing against Auger-Aliassime in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Ruud is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is a way better clay-court player than Korda, and we expect him to dominate from the start until the end.
That being said, Ruud covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Casper Ruud -2.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365
Medvedev – Cerundolo J.M.: 27.04.2025 Time TBA
H2H: first meeting
Daniil Medvedev has won three of his last five matches. Djere retired from the opening round match against Medvedev this week in Madrid. Last season in Madrid, Medvedev reached the quarterfinals, losing against Lehecka.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo has won four of his last five matches. This week in Madrid, Cerundolo qualified for the main draw tournament. In the opening main draw round, the Argentine defeated Kovacevic in three tight sets after losing the opening set 3-6. In the second round, Cerundolo upset Auger-Aliassime in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Cerundolo is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. The Argentine is playing his best tennis and has already won four matches in Madrid. On the other hand, Medvedev hates playing on clay.
That being said, Cerundolo covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Juan Manuel Cerundolo +3.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365
Nakashima – Cobolli: 27.04.2025 Time TBA
H2H: first meeting
Brandon Nakashima has lost three of his last five matches. Nakashima defeated Ofner in the opening round in straight sets this week in Madrid. He was great under pressure, saving the only breakpoint he offered.
Flavio Cobolli has won three of his last five matches. This week in Madrid, Cobolli won the opening round against Marozsan in straight sets. He trailed 3-5 in the opening set and saved three set points but turned it around. Rune retired mid-match in the second round against the young Italian.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Cobolli is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He dominated in both matches this week in Madrid and is a better clay-court player than Nakashima. The young American has struggled on clay this season so far. We expect Cobolli to dominate in this match and win easily.
That being said, Cobolli covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Flavio Cobolli -1.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
