ATP Masters 1000 Madrid 1/64-Finals
Comesana – Martinez: Time TBA
H2H: first meeting
Francisco Comesana has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Oeiras, He played in the Challenger tournament. He reached the final but lost against Moller in straight sets. Last season in Madrid, the Argentine failed to qualify for the main draw tournament.
Pedro Martinez has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Barcelona, the Spaniard lost in the 1/8-Finals against Fils in straight sets. Last season in Madrid, Martinez failed to qualify for the main draw tournament
According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Comesana played his best tennis this season and had a great run last week in Oeiras. Martinez has played four times in Madrid and has never made it past the opening round. We expect Comesana to be a better player and win.
That being said, Comesana winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Francisco Comesana winning @1.91 @bet365
Safiullin – Rinderknech: Time TBA
H2H: 2-0
Roman Safiullin has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Oeiras, Safiullin lost in the semifinals against Moller in straight sets. This will be his third appearance in Madrid. Last season, Safiullin lost in the opening round against Seyboth Wild in straight sets.
Arthur Rinderknech has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Barcelona, Rinderknech lost in the opening round against Djere in three tight sets. His debut campaign in Madrid happened last season when he lost in the opening round against Shevchenko in three tight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Safiullin is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He played solidly last week in Oeiras under similar conditions. On the other hand, Rinderknech struggled this season on clay. We expect Safiullin to be a better player and win easily.
That being said, Safiullin winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Roman Safiullin winning @1.50 @bet365
Etcheverry – Medjedovic: Time TBA
H2H: 1-0
Tomas Martin Etcheverry has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Barcelona, de Minaur defeated Etcheverry in straight sets in the opening round—the Argentine hopes for a solid result to return to the top 50 in the rankings this week. Last season in Madrid, Etcheverry lost in the second round against Shapovalov in straight sets.
Hamad Medjedovic has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Barcelona, Medjedovic reached the 1/8-Finals as a qualifier. He eventually lost against Ruud in straight sets. Last season in Madrid, the Serb lost in the second round against Lehecka.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Etcheverry is the slight underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He is a clay-court specialist, and we expect him to deliver his best tennis this week. Etcheverry defeated Medjedovic on clay in three sets in their only head-to-head meeting. We expect a similar outcome in Madrid as well.
That being said, Medjedovic covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Hamad Medjedovic +2.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
