ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells quarterfinals
Fils – Medvedev: 13.03.2025 Time TBA
H2H: 0-1
Arthur Fils has won three of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, Fils defeated Diallo, Musetti, and Giron en route to the quarterfinals. Last season, the Frenchman had a debut campaign in Indian Wells, where Ruud stopped him in the third round.
Daniil Medvedev has won four of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, Medvedev has yet to lose a set. In the 1/8-Finals, Medvedev won against Paul in straight sets while playing his best tennis. He has played back-to-back finals in Indian Wells in 2023 and 2024. He hopes for a solid result this week to regain confidence.
Best Bets to Make
First Bet
According to the bookies, Medvedev is the favorite in this matchup, and we agree. He was dominant throughout the whole week, and we expect him to dominate in this matchup. Fils spent almost five hours altogether in the past two matches.
That being said, Medvedev winning in straight sets is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Daniil Medvedev winning 2-0 @2.00 @bet365
Second Bet
Medvedev is a clear favorite against Fils in the quarterfinals. As we previously predicted, we expect him to do the job easily. His semifinal opponent will be either Griekspoor or Rune. We also expect him to be a clear favorite in that semifinal clash. Rune and Griekspoor will play a tight quarterfinal match. We expect them to play three sets and be exhausted afterward.
That being said, Medvedev reaching the final is a value bet.
Daniil Medvedev to reach the final @2.00 @bet365
Griekspoor – Rune: 13.03.2025 Time TBA
H2H: 2-0
Tallon Griekspoor has won four of his last five matches. Griekspoor had a tough draw this week in Indian Wells but overcame every challenge. En route to the quarterfinals, Griekspoor upset Alexander Zverev. It is his fourth appearance in Indian Wells. This has been his biggest result in Indian Wells so far.
Holger Rune has won four of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, Rune lost only one set en route to the quarterfinals. In the 1/8-Finals, Rune won against Tsitsipas in straight sets. He was a better player under pressure and deservedly won in straight sets.
Best Bets to Make
First Bet
According to the bookies, Griekspoor is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. Both players showed solid tennis this week in Indian Wells. Griekspoor leads head-to-head meetings 2-0. In their previous encounter, Griekspoor won in three tight sets. We expect Griekspoor to put up a big fight and keep this match close.
That being said, Griekspoor covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Tallon Griekspoor +2.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Second Bet
Both Rune and Griekspoor are solid servers. We expect a tight match that will go the distance, with possible tiebreakers. Rune and Griekspoor are often inconsistent and can not hold the lead.
That being said, over games is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: over 23.5 games @1.93 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
