ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells 1/8-Finals
Draper – Fritz: 12.03.2025 22:00 CEST
H2H: 2-2
Jack Draper has won four of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, Draper won both matches in straight sets. En route to the 1/8-Finals, the Brit defeated Fonseca and Brooksby. Last season, Draper lost against O’Connell in the opening round. He has never made it past the fourth round.
Taylor Fritz has won three of his last five matches. He defeated Gigante and Tabilo en route to the 1/8-Finals. This is his tenth appearance in Indian Wells. He was the champion here in 2022. Last season, Fritz lost against Rune in the fourth round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Draper is the slight favorite in this matchup, and we agree. He has been dominant for the last couple of weeks. On the other hand, Fritz has struggled with his form since the Australian Open. We expect Draper to be a better player tonight.
That being said, Draper winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jack Draper winning @1.67 @bet365
Dimitrov – Alcaraz: 13.03.2025 02:00 CEST
H2H: 2-3
Grigor Dimitrov has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, Dimitrov defeated Borges and Monfils en route to the 1/8-Finals. It is his twelfth appearance in Indian Wells. He has never made it past the semifinals.
Carlos Alcaraz has won four of his last five matches. He was relentless this week in Indian Wells, defeating Halys and Shapovalov in straight sets. Alcaraz is a back-to-back champion in Indian Wells, having won two consecutive titles in 2023 and 2024.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Dimitrov is the underdog in this matchup, and we agree. Alcaraz has been unplayable this week in Indian Wells. On the other hand, Dimitrov struggled against Monfils and spent over three hours on the court in the 1/16 Finals. We expect Alcaraz to prolong his winning streak and win easily.
That being said, Alcaraz covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Carlos Alcaraz -5.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365
Cerundolo – de Minaur: 12.03.2025 20:30 CEST
H2H: 0-1
Francisco Cerundolo has won four of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, Cerundolo defeated McDonald and Van de Zandschulp en route to the third round. It is his fourth appearance in Indian Wells. He was stopped in the third round last season against Shelton.
Alex de Minaur has won three of his last five matches. De Minaur defeated Goffin and Hurkacz en route to the third round this week in Indian Wells. It is his eighth appearance in Indian Wells. He has never made it past the fourth round.
Best Bet to Make
De Minaur has been one of the most consistent players this season. He is in great form and enjoys playing on hard courts. On the other hand, Cerundolo spent the last couple of weeks on clay. We expect de Minaur to dominate in this matchup and keep this match short.
That being said, under games is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: under 20.5 games @1.91 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-Imagn Images
