ATP 250 Buenos Aires 1/16-Finals
Diaz Acosta – Seyboth Wild: 10.02.2025 22:30 CEST
H2H: 2-2
Facundo Diaz Acosta has won three of his last five matches. His last match was at the Australian Open when he retired mid-match against Cerundolo in the second round. He had a foot injury and could not continue the match. It is his fifth appearance in Buenos Aires. Last season in Buenos Aires, Facundo captured the biggest title of his career, winning against Jarry in the final. He broke into the top 50 last season and hopes to get back there this season.
Thiago Seyboth Wild has lost four straight matches. He has been winless for over three months. So far this season, Thiago played three tournaments and lost in the opening round each time. The last match he played was in the Davis Cup, losing against Fils in straight sets. He tried to find his form at the Challenger tournament in Quimper last month but also failed in the opening round. His last clay court match was last year in Lisbon, losing against Rocha in the opening round of the Challenger tournament. It is his fourth appearance in Buenos Aires. He has never made it past the first round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Thiago is in terrible form and never had any success in Buenos Aires. On the other hand, Facundo is a defending champion. We expect him to dominate in this match and win easily.
That being said, Facundo winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Facundo Diaz Acosta winning @1.73 @bet365
Carballes Baena – Lajovic: 10.02.2025 17:30 CEST
H2H: 1-1
Roberto Carballes Baena has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Dallas, Baena lost in the opening round against Kym in three tight sets. His last clay court match was last season in Seville, when he won the Challenger title, winning against Altmaier in the final. It is his tenth appearance in Buenos Aires. Last year in Buenos Aires, Baena lost in the opening round against Etcheverry.
Dusan Lajovic has lost four of his last five matches. The last match he played was at the Australian Open, where he lost against Kecmanovic in the opening round in five sets. His last clay court match was last year at the Olympic Games, where he lost against Marterer. Dusan is a clay court specialist. It is his tenth appearance in Buenos Aires. Last season, Lajovic lost in the quarterfinals against Diaz Acosta in straight sets. His best result was reaching the quarterfinals four times already.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Carballes Baena is the favorite in this matchup, but we disagree. Lajovic is a great clay court player who has prepared on clay courts for the last three weeks. On the other hand, Baena played last week in Dallas on an indoor hard court. Dusan is better prepared for this match, and we expect him to win.
That being said, Lajovic winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Dusan Lajovic winning @2.63 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
