ATP Australian Open 1/16-Finals
Moutet – Tien: 18.01.2025 05:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Corentin Moutet has won four of his last five matches. This is his first tournament of the season. In the opening Australian Open round, Moutet upset Popyrin in four sets after losing the first set 4-6. Yesterday, in the second round, Moutet won against Krueger in four sets. Once again, Corentin lost the first set but kept fighting and turned the match around. His last appearance in the Australian Open was in 2023 when he lost in the second round against Cerundolo in four sets.
Learner Tien has won five straight matches. The young American is one of the biggest sensations in Melbourne. He successfully qualified for the main draw tournament. Tien defeated Ugo Carabelli in five tight sets in the opening main draw round. Yesterday, in the second round, Learner upset Medvedev in five sets, spending almost five hours on the court. In the deciding set, Medvedev was 6-5 up and served for the match, but Tien was calm and successfully earned himself the biggest win of his young career.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 match, but we disagree. Tien spent nine hours on the court in the past two matches. He is used to the Challenger Tour level, and we believe his body will be tired. Moutet loves to play long rallies, and with his experience playing at the highest level, we expect him to control this match.
That being said, Moutet winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Corentin Moutet winning @2.10 @bet365
Shelton – Musetti: 18.01.2025 07:00 CEST
H2H: 0-2
Ben Shelton has lost three of his last five matches. He started this season with a loss in Auckland last week. In the opening Australian Open round, Shelton defeated Nakashima in tight straight sets. In the second round, Ben defeated Carreno-Busta in four tight sets yesterday. This will be his third appearance in the Australian Open. Last year, Ben was upset by Adrian Mannarino in the third round, losing in five tight sets.
Lorenzo Musetti has won three of his last five matches. At the beginning of the season, Musetti played in Hong Kong, where he reached the quarterfinals, losing against Munar in three tight sets. Here in Melbourne, Musetti won against Arnaldi in the opening round. Yesterday, in the second round, Lorenzo won against Shapovalov in straight sets. He won all of the important points in the match. Last year in the Australian Open, Musetti reached the second round, losing against van Assche in five tight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Shelton is the slight favorite in this match, and we agree. Ben is a better hard-court player than Musetti. He has shown solid tennis so far, and we believe that he will play even better as the tournament continues. We expect him to dominate against Musetti in the third round.
That being said, Shelton winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Ben Shelton winning @1.67 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports
