ATP Bastad Best Bets Including Nadal vs Navone

Rafael Nadal ahead of the ATP Madrid Open.

ATP 250 Bastad quarterfinals

Ajdukovic – Monteiro: 19.07.2024 11:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Duje Ajdukovic has won four straight matches here in Bastad. Duje had to fight through the qualifying tournament to get into the main-draw. He has won both of his qualifying rounds in straight sets. In the first main-draw round, Ajdukovic won against van Assche in straight sets. After that, in the second round, Ajdukovic had a rough match against Kotov, winning in three tight sets. He spent over two hours on the court in his second round match. Duje is looking to get into the top 100, so a good result here could be enough for that.

Thiago Monteiro has won four of his last five matches. In the first round here in Bastad, Monteiro absolutely dominated against Coria as we predicted. Monteiro won that match within an hour, dropping only four games. In the second round, Thiago covered the games handicap and won the match against Casper Ruud as we predicted. It was his greatest performance of the season. So far this season, Thiago has had some solid performances at the ATP tour level.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Monteiro is the favorite in this matchup. Here in Bastad, Thiago has shown great tennis throughout the whole tournament. Duke had a tough and long second round match, so we are not sure if he will be fit enough for this quarterfinal meeting.

That being said, Monteiro covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Thiago Monteiro -3.5 games handicap @1.80 @bet365

Nadal – Navone: 19.07.2024 13:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Rafael Nadal has won three of his last five matches. Something we do not see often is Nadal playing at the ATP 250 tournament. Here in Bastad, Nadal defeated Borg in tight straight sets as we predicted. In his second round match, Rafael dominated against Norrie and has shown us that he is still here to fight. Nadal was 1-4 down in the second set, but went on to win five straight games and win the match. He is looking to get some wins here in Bastad to regain his confidence.

Mariano Navone has lost four of his last five matches. The young Argentine established himself as a top 50 player this season because of his clay court performances. This will be the biggest match of his young career. Here in Bastad, Mariano defeated Nagal in straight sets. His current losses were on his least favorite surface, the grass court. We believe that he will get back to his winning runs on clay.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Nadal is the big favorite in this matchup. We are not sure if he is fit enough to win three straight matches. Navone is a great clay court player, so we believe that this will be an interesting match. We are not sure if Navone can win this match, but we think that he will keep this match tight.

That being said, Navone covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Mariano Navone +3.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365

Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports

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