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ATP Santiago Quarterfinal Predictions Including Nicolas Jarry vs Corentin Moutet

Nicholas Jarry in action ahead of the ATP Adelaide International.

Eight players remain in contention for the 2024 ATP Chile Open title in Santiago. Defending champion Nicolas Jarry and Alejandro Tabilo will be keeping the hopes up for the home crowd with two Chileans making it into the quarterfinals of the same ATP Tour event for the first time in almost five years (2019 ‘s-Hertogenbosch, Garin and Jarry). Rio de Janeiro champion Sebastian Baez and Cordoba champion Luciano Darderi are also still going strong. Who do you think will make the final four?

ATP Santiago Quarterfinal Predictions

Pedro Martinez vs Arthur Fils

Head-to-head: First meeting

Arthur Fils‘s choice to play the Golden Swing looked a bit baffling after he lost to Dusan Lajovic and Joao Fonseca without ever threatening to win, but maybe the Frenchman can still salvage what he can from the situation. Thiago Seyboth Wild’s subpar second-round performance kinda didn’t give us much info on how strong Fils will be here. He was serving well though and was clinical on that heavy +1 forehand. If he can keep that going, he simply has a higher ceiling than Pedro Martinez.
Prediction: Fils in 3

Jaume Munar vs Sebastian Baez

Head-to-head: Munar 1-0

Sebastian Baez has been so consistent in the Golden Swing over the years. He’s now made nine out of 12 possible quarterfinals since the start of the 2022 season, including six in a row (four this year). Will the Rio de Janeiro champion have enough left in the tank to beat Jaume Munar as well? All the confidence he’s playing with right now should help, but the Spaniard will also be looking at this match as a potential opportunity. Baez will need to be on point to prevail.
Prediction: Baez in 3

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Alejandro Tabilo vs Luciano Darderi

Head-to-head: 1-1

Luciano Darderi survived a three-tie-break thriller against Facundo Bagnis in the opening round and quickly avenged his Rio de Janeiro qualifying loss to Juan Manuel Cerundolo. Despite being a clay-court specialist, he gets such massive pace on his first serve and that’s been incredibly helpful in the altitude conditions of Santiago so far. Alejandro Tabilo likes it quick too and can often perform his attacking game with higher efficiency when the court is faster, but maybe Darderi can push him behind the baseline with that heavy forehand.
Prediction: Darderi in 3

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Nicolas Jarry vs Corentin Moutet

Head-to-head: Jarry 3-0

Taking this title last year was such an emotional win for Nicolas Jarry, who’s from Santiago and even the main arena at this event is named after his grandfather. That can add some pressure as well and while he was feeling it from time to time in the 2023 edition, the home crowd was also key in getting him through some of the toughest moments. Here he’ll take on Corentin Moutet, who’s been a rather comfortable rival for him over the years. The contrast in styles is huge and the power difference has been tough for the Frenchman to overcome.
Prediction: Jarry in 2

Main Photo Credit: Jerry Lai-USA TODAY Sports


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