The ATP Paris Masters is all set for an enthralling finish as the two best players this week fight it out for the trophy. It’s the third seed, Daniil Medvedev taking on the fourth seed Alexander Zverev in the championship match.
ATP Paris Masters Final Prediction
Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev
Head-to-head: Zverev 5-1 Medvedev
First and foremost, it’s safe to say that these two players have looked the most secure and dominating throughout this week. While Alexander Zverev was almost a certainty to do so after his back to back wins in Cologne, Daniil Medvedev’s run has been very refreshing to see. The Russian is back to winning ways and slowly but surely he’s found the mental fortitude he’s known for this week. Whether it’ll be enough against an in form German will make for interesting viewing on Sunday.
Zverev did win back to back tournaments in Cologne but none of this opponents there were at the level of Rafael Nadal and the German passed this test with flying colours. Nadal never looked settled and it was Zverev who was dominating from the baseline closing the match out in straight sets. The German’s first serve percentage was at a healthy 72% and that’s way one of eliminating his double faults issue, make a lot of first serves. What was impressive about Zverev’s win was his ability to regroup late in the second set which says a lot about the mental state of the fourth seed.
Matching Zverev performance wise, Medvedev’s semi-final win was no less impressive against a very dangerous Milos Raonic. The Russian was clinical on serve throughout and apart from losing his serve in the second set, it was a solid performance. The head to head for the final stands at 5-1 in favour of Zverev but the way both of them have played this week, it’s neck and neck for the trophy. Matchup wise, expect both players to continue their fine serving performances and it’ll be surprising if we see a lot of breaks of serve. That being said, if it goes to a tiebreak which looks very likely, Medvedev’s defence looks dialed in and that could prove pivotal at clutch moments.
From the baseline, there’s not a lot to separate the two with Zverev being the likely aggressor early in the rallies but if Medvedev is able to counterpunch as he very well can, the Russian becomes the favourite to clinch those all important baseline rallies. Expect an extremely tight contest between the two with thrilling rallies and a high quality clash throughout.
Zverev has been serving well all week but it’s a risky strategy he’s been employing and while that’s been working well so far, it’s susceptible to break down under pressure and it’s a situation he may find himself in against Medvedev. The Russian’s gameplay is a lot more controlled compared to Zverev and expect Medvedev to raise his game as he’s done all week in the important moments.
Prediction: Medvedev in 3
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