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ATP Chengdu Open Final Prediction : Alexander Bublik vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Pablo Carreno Busta Chengdu Open

The championship match is set at the Chengdu Open and we may have a first-time tour-level winner in Alexander Bublik. It looks set to be an exhilarating finale to a fantastic week of tennis with both finalists desperate to claim the title. But who will come out on top?

Chengdu Open Final Prediction

Alexander Bublik vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Head-to-head: Carreno Busta 1-0 Bublik

If the pair’s previous meeting is anything to go by, it’ll be a pretty tight contest. Pablo Carreno Busta, a former semifinalist at the US Open, won their sole previous meeting in Moscow three years ago 6-4 2-6 7-6(1). The Spaniard knows what the Kazakh brings to the court, ut with the way Bublik’s been playing this week, Carreno Busta will need to be at his very best.

Bublik has a big serve and it’s been firing at the Chengdu Open with the Kazakh having served 94 aces across his four matches here. However, he has also been averaging close to nine double faults a match which has to be brought down in the final as the Spaniard is a consistent returner. What’s been refreshing about Bublik this week is his willingness to hit out and back his tennis in testing times. A win on Sunday will see him break into the top 50 for the first time in his career.

The Spaniard, meanwhile, who endured a nightmare 2018 season with a succession of injuries, is into his first tour-level final since 2017 and has looked pretty strong so far. His wins over Cristian Garin and Denis Shapovalov showcased his steady defence, and that will be his biggest weapon in the final.

It’s extremely tough to separate the two after their level of play in Chengdu but one senses it will be decided by who executes their game plan better on the day. If Bublik can be his attacking self, he’ll be the one creating more chances on Carreno Busta’s serve. Carreno Busta will definitely give it his all but with Bublik backing himself on serve and going for broke, it feels like the Kazakh is going to go all the way.

Prediction: Bublik in 3

Main photo:
Embed from Getty Images

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