Carlos Sainz still hasn’t committed to a team for 2025 despite months of speculation. The Spaniard has taken no shortage of risk this year, avoiding the temptation to rush a decision and sign a contract early. However, Sainz could be waiting too long to agree on a deal.
Sainz forced to adjust after missing out on top seats
At the beginning of the season, Sainz was linked to the top teams. Specifically, the 29-year-old was mentioned as a potential target for Mercedes – still searching for a Lewis Hamilton replacement.
A return to Red Bull was also seen as a possibility, especially as Sergio Perez’s form faltered.
Unfortunately for Sainz, these paths are no longer realistic. Mercedes are committed to Kimi Antonelli, who is seen as the team’s future.
Even if the Silver Arrows were to offer Sainz a contract, it would likely be a short-term contract. After losing his Ferrari seat unexpectedly, spending next year as a placeholder is certainly not Sainz’s preference.
Meanwhile, Red Bull’s decision to keep Perez is proving to have been incorrect.
However, partly due to past tensions with Verstappen whilst they were Toro Rosso teammates, Red Bull are reluctant to seriously consider Sainz.
The waiting game continues for Carlos Sainz
Because of these unfavourable circumstances, Sainz’s only options are in the midfield. For a long time, Williams and Sauber were the favourites to land a deal.
Indeed, when Sainz declared at the Spanish GP that he would make a final decision, he was expected to join Williams.
However, the situation changed once again. Flavio Briatore’s appointment as executive director at Alpine has captured his attention.
As mentioned previously on LWOS, Alpine are considering a switch to Mercedes engines for the 2026 regulations.
This would be a significant change in direction from team Enstone, who would essentially be giving away their manufacturer status.
Regardless of whether this is the correct path, Alpine’s shift is why Sainz has yet to silence the speculation and reach a decision.
In the eyes of many, this hesitance is only counter-productive.
James Vowles has stated that Williams cannot wait indefinitely for a response.
Inevitably, the longer a driver waits before putting pen to paper, the greater the risk of teams moving on and doors closing.
Despite this reality, Carlos Sainz seems to have enough confidence in his value to continue playing this high-risk game.
