The ATP Masters 1000 Miami 1/64 finals continue with a mix of form-based and value bets. Berrettini looks well-positioned against an inactive Muller, Opelka benefits from home conditions, while Quinn carries strong momentum and confidence into his matchup against an out-of-form Hurkacz.
ATP Masters 1000 Miami 1/64-Finals
Muller – Berrettini: 19.03.2026 01:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Alexandre Muller has lost four of his last five matches. The last match he played was over a month ago in the Davis Cup. Last season in Miami, Muller lost to Cerundolo in the second round in straight sets.
Matteo Berrettini has lost three of his last five matches. The last match he played was in Indian Wells, where he lost to Zverev in the second round in straight sets. Last season in Miami, the Italian lost to Fritz in the quarterfinals in three tight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Berrettini is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He enjoys playing in Miami and is in better form than Muller. On the other hand, the Frenchman has not played any competitive matches for over a month.
That being said, Berrettini covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Matteo Berrettini -3.5 games handicap @1.91 @bet365
Opelka – Borges: 18.03.2026 17:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Reilly Opelka has lost three of his last five matches. The last match he played was in Indian Wells, where he lost to Shelton in the second round in three tight sets. Last season in Miami, the American lost to Machac in the third round in straight sets.
Nuno Borges has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Phoenix, Borges lost to Giron in the quarterfinals in straight sets. This will be his fourth appearance in Miami. He has never made it past the opening round here.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be an almost 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Borges struggled in each appearance in Miami. On the other hand, Opelka will have the crowd on his side and enjoys playing at home.
That being said, Opelka winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Reilly Opelka winning @1.91 @bet365
Quinn – Hurkacz: 18.03.2026 20:00 CEST
H2H: 1-0
Ethan Quinn has won five straight matches. Last week in Phoenix, the American won the challenger tournament, winning against Giron in the final. Last season in Miami, Quinn lost to Schoolkate in the opening round in straight sets.
Hubert Hurkacz has lost six straight matches. The last match he won was at the Australian Open. Last week in Cap Cana, Hurkacz lost to Bellucci in the opening round in straight sets. He was the champion here in 2021.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Quinn is the slight underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He is coming into this match fully confident after winning the Challenger title. On the other hand, Hurkacz struggled with his form for the past few weeks. Quinn defeated Hurkacz easily at the Australian Open this season. We expect a similar outcome tonight.
That being said, Quinn winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Ethan Quinn winning @2.10 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports
