ATP 250 Hong Kong quarterfinals
Rublev – Borges: 09.01.2026 08:00 CEST
H2H: 2-0
Andrey Rublev has won four of his last five matches. This week in Hong Kong, Rublev won the opening match against Wu in three sets, after losing the opening set 3-6.
Nuno Borges has won four of his last five matches. This week in Hong Kong, Borges won the opening match against Dzumhur in straight sets. His return game got him a comfortable win. In the second round, Borges defeated Cilic in straight sets. This time, Borges lost his serve only once and dominated on the return.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Rublev is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He demolished Wu in the second and third sets after adapting to the surface. He won both head-to-head meetings against Borges on hard courts in straight sets easily. We expect a similar outcome tomorrow.
That being said, Rublev covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Andrey Rublev -2.5 games handicap @1.80 @bet365
Shang – Bublik: 09.01.2026 11:00 CEST
H2H: 2-1
Juncheng Shang has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Hong Kong, Shang defeated Comesana in the opening round in straight sets. He offered and saved only one breakpoint. In the second round, Shang defeated Sonego in straight sets; once again, he saved all five breakpoints.
Alexander Bublik has won three of his last five matches. Bublik is the second seed this week in Hong Kong. In the opening match, the Kazakh defeated van de Zandschulp in straight sets. He offered and saved two breakpoints.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Shang is the slight underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He dominated in both matches this week and has won the past two head-to-head meetings against Bublik. We expect him to keep this match close.
That being said, Shang covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Juncheng Shang +2.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Giron – Mmoh: 09.01.2026 12:30 CEST
H2H: 1-3
Marcos Giron has won four of his last five matches. This week in Hong Kong, Giron demolished Djere in the opening round in straight sets. He served well, not offering any breakpoints throughout the match. Giron defeated Muller in the second round in straight sets.
Michael Mmoh has won four of his last five matches. This week in Hong Kong, Mmoh qualified for the main draw tournament by winning both qualifying matches in three sets. In the opening main draw round, Mmoh defeated Tabilo in straight sets. He was great under pressure, saving all six breakpoints. Mmoh upset Khachanov in the second round in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Mmoh is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He defeated Giron in the past two head-to-head meetings in straight sets. Mmoh defeated two tough opponents this week, and we expect him to keep this match close.
That being said, Mmoh covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Michael Mmoh +2.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
