ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai quarterfinals
Rinderknech – Auger-Aliassime: 10.10.2025 09:00 CEST
H2H: 0-2
Arthur Rinderknech has won four of his last five matches. This week in Shanghai, Medjedovic retired mid-match against the Frenchman in the opening round. In the second round, Rinderknech defeated Michelsen in straight sets. He trailed 2-4 in the second set, but won four straight games and turned the set around. Rinderknech upset Zverev in the third round, after losing the opening set 4-6. He offered three breakpoints altogether in the second and third sets and saved them all. In the 1/8-Finals, the Frenchman upset Lehecka in straight sets.
Felix Auger-Aliassime has won four of his last five matches. The last match he played before the ATP Shanghai was at the US Open, where he lost to Sinner in the semifinals in four tight sets. This week, the Canadian won the opening match against Tabilo in straight sets. He saved all seven breakpoints. In the third round, Auger-Aliassime defeated de Jong in straight sets. He saved two consecutive set points in the second set. The Canadian defeated Musetti in the 1/8-Finals in straight sets. He offered and saved three breakpoints.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Auger-Aliassime is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. So far this week in Shanghai, the Canadian has won all matches in straight sets. He leads 2-0 in head-to-head meetings against Rinderknech and has never dropped a set against him. We expect Auger-Aliassime to dominate and win easily.
That being said, Auger-Aliassime covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Felix Auger-Aliassime -3.5 games handicap @2.10 @bet365
Medvedev – de Minaur: 10.10.2025 12:30 CEST
H2H: 7-4
Daniil Medvedev has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Beijing, the Russian retired mid-match against Tien in the semifinals. This week in Shanghai, Medvedev defeated Svrcina in the opening round in straight sets. He served well, not offering any breakpoints. In the third round, Medvedev defeated Davidovich Fokina in straight sets. He offered and saved only one breakpoint. After playing for three hours, Medvedev defeated Tien in the 1/8-Finals in three tight sets. He was the champion here in 2019. Last season in Shanghai, Sinner defeated Medvedev in the quarterfinals in straight sets.
Alex de Minaur has won four of his last five matches. This week in Shanghai, de Minaur won the opening match against Ugo Carabelli in straight sets. He served well, not offering any breakpoints. In the third round, the Australian won against Majchrzak in straight sets. In the opening set, de Minaur demolished Majchrzak 6-1. However, in the second set, de Minaur lost his serve and trailed 3-4. The Australian defeated Borges in the 1/8-Finals in straight sets. He offered and saved three breakpoints.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, de Minaur is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Medvedev had an exhausting 1/8-Final match against Tien. On the other hand, de Minaur dominated in all three matches this week. Considering their current form, we expect de Minaur to be a better player tomorrow.
That being said, de Minaur winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alex de Minaur winning @1.50 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-Imagn Images
