WTA Beijing Quarterfinals Best Bets Including Eva Lys vs Coco Gauff

The WTA Beijing action has now reached the quarterfinals. Here are my best bets for the matches later today.  Please let me know in the comments if you agree with our picks. I have decided to post all four matches in one article for your convenience. Enjoy, and I can’t wait to read your thoughts.    

WTA Beijing

Kartal – Noskova: Time 07:00

H2H: 0-1

Sonay Kartal vs Linda Noskova is not the match I thought would happen. Kartal surprised me in her win over Mirra Andreeva last round. She’s now on a four-match win streak and has won five of her last six matches. Noskova is 7-3 in her last ten matches, and is riding a three-match win streak of her own. She took down Anastasia Potapova in the last round and now enters this match as a favorite.

Best Bet to Make

Noskova is generally hovering at around 1.5 on many books. Her opponent is closer to 2.6, which makes Noskova a favorite by more than a point. When you consider how much Kartal was struggling before this tournament began, it’s easy to see why the books have more faith in Noskova, who has been far more consistent this year. I do think she will, and I don’t have faith in any correct score. I think straight up is the best way to go here.

That being said, Noskova is a value bet for sure.

Value bet/the best odds: Noskova @1.54 @Betfair

Navarro – Pegula: Time 00:00

H2H: 0-2

Emma Navarro and Jessica Pegula feature in my match of the tournament. It’s a bit surprising to me that they only have two previous matches, given their age and country of origin. Pegula is truly having a great year. She has won three tournaments, all of them on a different surface. She is also 46-19 on the year and 30-10 in hardcourt matches. In her last ten matches, Pegula is 7-3. Pegula also won their match earlier this year at Bad Homburg in the quarterfinals, a tournament Pegula would go on to win. Navarro is 7-3 in her last ten, 32-23 overall, and 17-12 on a hardcourt with one tournament win at Mérida.

Best Bet to Make

I get why Pegula is the favorite in this match. I don’t fully understand why she’s double Navarro, but I agree that Pegula should win. I do think this match can go three sets. Sites are offering Pegula 2:0 starting at 1.95, so maybe they see something I don’t, but their last match went three. Navarro can be a tough out at times, especially if you’re having an off day. Both ladies are entering this match on a three-match win streak, so I see Pegula in three.

That being said, Pegula winning is a value bet for sure.

Value bet/the best odds: Pegula winning @1.48 @Betfair

Lys – Gauff: Time 09:00

H2H: 0-0

Eva Lys and Coco Gauff will meet for the first time in China. Gauff enters this match having a phenomenal year. Gauff is 41-13 overall with a title at the French Open and several other finals appearances. She also won this tournament last year, is 23-8 on a hardcourt this year, and is 8-2 in her last ten matches. Eva Lys is 7-3 in her last ten, 30-21 overall, and 21-11 on a hardcourt in 2025. There’s a fair reason that Gauff sits as a dominant favorite.

Best Bet to Make

It would be safer to throw a prop bet on this match than to bet Gauff straight up. Gauff is way too large a favorite to bring in a substantial payout, but taking her 2:0 will bring you a nice 165% payout. When you consider that the under on 2.5 sets only pays out 142% and you begin to see why taking the correct score is a better way to make a dollar. The odds are almost five to one straight up, so the correct score is worth it to this Dutchman.    

That being said, Gauff winning 2:0 is a value bet for sure.

Value bet/the best odds: Gauff winning 2:0 @1.65 @Coral

Paolini – Anisimova: Time 12:00

H2H: 0-1

Jasmine Paolini vs Amanda Anisimova is one of the best matches of the tournament. Surprisingly, the two of them have only had one previous encounter, and that took place back in 2021 at WTA Parma in the first round. Anisimova took the match, which was on a clay court, in straight sets. Paolini is 8-2 in her last ten matches, and somehow Anismova is better at 9-1. Anisimova’s only loss during that time was a US Open finals loss to Aryna Sabalenka. Paolini lost in the third round of the US Open to Marketa Vondrousova, but her other loss was in the finals at WTA Cincinnati to Iga Swiatek.

Best Bet to Make

I’m a bit surprised that the books have Anisimova as such a favorite. The two of them have almost the exact same record on a hardcourt in 2025. Paolini is 22-9, and Anisimova is 23-9. Even their yearly records are nearly the same, as Paolini is 41-15 and Anisimova is 42-16. As stated, both are at least 8-2 in their last ten matches, so why is Anisimova such a favorite in this tournament?  I don’t get it, and I think Paolini is likely to win. That said, this match is for sure going over 20.5 games, right?   

That being said, Over 20.5 games is a value bet for sure.

Value bet/the best odds: Over 20.5 games @1.76 @Pinnacle

Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports