ATP US Open 1/32-Finals
Struff – Rune: 27.08.2025 23:00 CEST
H2H: 1-0
Jan-Lennard Struff has won four of his last five matches. This week in New York, the German player qualified for the main draw of the tournament. In the final qualifying round, Struff won against Cazaux in straight sets. He trailed 0-3 in the opening set and saved two set points. In the opening main draw round, the German turned the match around against McDonald, winning in four sets.
Holger Rune has won four of his last five matches. Rune has never made it past the third round here. This week, he defeated Van de Zandschulp in the opening round in straight sets. Last season in New York, the Dane lost to Nakashima in the opening round in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Rune is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Even though he is not in his form, Rune is still a better player than Struff, especially at the Grand Slam level. We expect him to win easily.
That being said, Rune covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Holger Rune -4.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365
Bellucci – Alcaraz: 28.08.2025 01:00 CEST
H2H: 0-1
Mattia Bellucci has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Winston-Salem, Bellucci lost to Munar in the second round in straight sets. Just a week before, Bellucci won the Challenger title in Sumter. This week in New York, Shang retired mid-match against him in the opening round.
Carlos Alcaraz has won seven straight matches. Last week in Cincinnati, Alcaraz won the Masters 1000 title. He was the champion here in 2022. This week, the Spaniard outlasted Opelka in the opening round in straight sets. Last season, Van de Zandschulp upset him in the second round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Alcaraz is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is in great form and one of the biggest favourites to win the title this week. On the other hand, Bellucci has no weapons to match his game. We expect a quick win for Alcaraz tonight.
That being said, Alcaraz covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Carlos Alcaraz -8.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365
Shelton – Carreno-Busta: 28.08.2025 02:30 CEST
H2H: 1-0
Ben Shelton has won four of his last five matches. This week in New York, Shelton defeated Buse in straight sets easily in the opening round. He saved all five breakpoints he offered.
Pablo Carreno-Busta has lost three of his last five matches. This week at the US Open, the Spaniard defeated Llamas Ruiz in the opening round in straight sets. He offered and saved five breakpoints.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Shelton is the heavy favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Carreno-Busta is past his prime and has struggled this season. On the other hand, Shelton looks to become a top 5 player and has had a great season so far. We expect Shelton to dominate and win easily.
That being said, Shelton covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Ben Shelton -6.5 games handicap @1.67 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-Imagn Images
