ATP 250 Kitzbuhel semifinals
Cazaux – Rinderknech: 25.07.2025 12:30 CEST
H2H: 1-0
Arthur Cazaux has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Gstaad, the Frenchman lost against Bublik in the semifinals. This week in Kitzbuhel, Cazaux won against Buse in the opening round in three tight sets after spending over two hours. He defeated Comesana in the second round in straight sets. He offered and saved only one breakpoint. The Frenchman dominated against Struff in the quarterfinals, winning in straight sets. Once again, Cazaux saved all breakpoints.
Arthur Rinderknech has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Gstaad, Rinderknech lost against Passaro in the opening round. This week in Kitzbuhel, the Frenchman won the opening round against Bagnis in three tight sets. In the second round, Rinderknech lost the opening set 6-7 against Gombos, but turned the match around. Today, in the third round, the Frenchman defeated Hanfmann in three sets. He served great, hitting thirteen aces.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be an almost 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Rinderknech struggled in all three matches this week. On the other hand, Cazaux’s form improved throughout the week. Two years ago in Bordeaux under similar conditions, Cazaux defeated Rinderknech easily. We expect Cazaux to be a better player and win.
That being said, Cazaux winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Arthur Cazaux winning @1.67 @bet365
Bublik – Van de Zandschulp: 25.07.2025 14:30 CEST
H2H: 0-2
Alexander Bublik has won six straight matches. Last week in Gstaad, Bublik won the title, defeating Cerundolo J.M. in the final in three tight sets. That was his maiden ATP title on clay. Here in Kitzbühel, the Kazakh defeated Tirante in his opening match in straight sets. He saved all three breakpoints. Today in the second round, the Kazakh defeated Shevchenko in straight sets. He was great under pressure, saving all five breakpoints. Looking at the past, Bublik has never succeeded on clay courts. However, he played his best tennis on every surface this season and looks to get into the top 20.
Botic Van de Zandschulp has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Bastad, the Dutch lost against Ugo Carabelli in three tight sets in the 1/8-Finals. This week in Kitzbühel, Van de Zandschulp defeated Jarry in three tight sets. He trailed 1-3 in the deciding set, but turned it around. In the second round, he defeated Misolic in straight sets. He served well throughout the match. Today in the quarterfinals, Van de Zandschulp won against Seyboth Wild in straight sets. He trailed 0-2 in the opening set, but turned it around.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Bublik is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is in great form and looks unstoppable. Van de Zandschulp struggled with his form for the past few months. We expect Bublik to dominate and win easily tomorrow.
That being said, Bublik winning in straight sets is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alexander Bublik winning 2-0 @2.00 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-Imagn Images
