The 2025 Wimbledon Open qualifying rounds roll on, and LWOS is back with more wagering opportunities and best bets. While this is still the early stages of Wimbledon, the matches have been no less exciting, with many going three sets. 38 of 96 qualifying matches have gone to a third set, and several took the third set to a tiebreak. Here are more of my betting suggestions for the qualifying rounds. Let me know in the comments if you agree.
Wimbledon Open
Montgomery – Juvan: Time 12:00
H2H: 0-0
Robin Montgomery and Kaja Juvan will meet for the first time at Wimbledon. Montgomery has played at Wimbledon twice before, and her best finish was last year when she reached the second round. Juvan has three prior appearances, and her best finish was a third-round exit, once in 2021 and again in 2022, but this will be her first appearance since 2023. Both the American and the Slovenian have impressive records on grass, with Montgomery having the better record of the two at 18-6 to Juvan’s 16-8 on the surface.
Best Bet to Make
The books have Juvan as an ever-so-slight favorite. She’s currently listed at 1.86 to Montgomery’s 2.05 straight up. Juvan is also 9-1 in her last ten matches, but 40% of those matches were in lower-level tournaments. Montgomery is 6-4 in her last ten matches, but all of them were at the WTA level. I do agree with Juvan winning, but I think I would avoid a correct score on this match and just pick a straight-up winner. There are too many variables to account for when picking a correct score or playing the over/under for total games played, but Juvan has only gone to a third set once during that ten-game stretch, for what it’s worth.
That being said, Juvan winning is a value bet for sure.
Value bet/ the best odds: Juvan winning @1.86 @Betfair
Erjavec – Appleton: Time 11:00
H2H: 1-0
Veronika Erjavec and Emily Appleton have only met once before, with Erjavec beating her in straight sets on clay in 2022. Erjavec and Appleton are having completely opposite years in terms of success. Erjavec has been trading wins and losses throughout the year, and she is only just above .500 on the year at 17-15 overall. Meanwhile, Appleton is 26-14 with one lower-level tournament victory at Trois-Rivieres in March. While Appleton is normally an indoor player, this is her third grass tournament in a row, while this is Erjavec’s first tournament on grass this year.
Best Bet to Make
Appleton is the favorite in this match for one simple reason: Erjavec has yet to win a tournament that isn’t played on clay. In fact, even if you’re accounting for her doubles play, Erjavec only has five total tournament wins on surfaces other than clay. She has two doubles tournament victories on a hardcourt, and she has three indoors. Appleton has been tearing it up at the lower levels, and it’s only a matter of time before those skills begin to show up at the WTA level. My biggest concern with this match is that she’s gone three sets in both of her previous matches at Wimbledon, including a very drawn-out tiebreaker against Barbora Palicova in her last match.
That being said, Appleton winning is a value bet for sure.
Value bet/ the best odds: Appleton winning @1.7 @Bet-at-home
Seidel – Fett: Time 13:30
H2H: 1-0
Ella Seidel and Jana Fett had one prior meeting in Antalya back in 2024. That match saw Seidel easily sweep Fett aside in straight sets, 6-1, 6-2. Seidel and Fett both enter the match having gone 5-5 in their last ten matches. Additionally, both are 3-2 in their last five matches. Seidel has a bit more experience this year at 25-20 overall compared to Fett, who is 15-12 overall. It’s only when you get to the grass statistic that Fett separates herself from Seidel, and potentially makes her a solid opportunity to provide an upset.
Best Bet to Make
The books have Seidel as an extremely minor favorite. We’re literally talking 1.89 to 1.95, straight-up. I think taking Fett straight up is the wise move here. She’s much more accomplished on grass in her career, and she is more experienced at Wimbledon. Seidel is 4-5 overall on grass, and it doesn’t seem to be a surface she plays on often or is overly comfortable on. Fett isn’t a grass player by trade, but she’s 2-1 on the year. For me, this match comes down to conditioning. I think Fett is enough of a veteran to beat Seidel and advance.
That being said, Fett winning is a value bet for sure.
Value bet/ the best odds: Fett winning @1.95 @Betway
Main Photo Credit: Jose Manuel Alvarez-USA TODAY Sports
