ATP 250 Geneva 1/8-Finals
Arnaldi – Marozsan: 21.05.2025 14:00 CEST
H2H: 2-0
Matteo Arnaldi has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Rome, Bautista-Agut upset Arnaldi in straight sets. He made too many unforced errors, which is why he lost. This is his debut campaign in Geneva. In the opening round, Arnaldi defeated Gaston in three tight sets after losing the opening set 6-7.
Fabian Marozsan has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Rome, Marozsan lost in the 1/16-Finals against Mensik in tight straight sets. This is his second appearance in Geneva. He defeated Sell 6-1 6-1 in the opening round. Last season, Marozsan lost in the opening round against Shevchenko in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be an almost 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Marozsan played incredibly well in the opening round this week. On the other hand, Arnaldi struggled once again on the court. We expect Marozsan to be a better player today.
That being said, Marozsan winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Fabian Marozsan winning @1.73 @bet365
Rinderknech – Hurkacz: 21.05.2025 14:00 CEST
H2H: 0-3
Arthur Rinderknech has lost three of his last five matches. He was a former top-50 player who needs a solid result this week to get back into the top 50. In the opening round, the Frenchman demolished Kecmanovic 6-4 6-2, not offering any breakpoints.
Hubert Hurkacz has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Rome, the Pole had a decent run, reaching the quarterfinals. Paul eventually stopped him, losing in straight sets. This week in Geneva, Hurkacz won the opening round match against Cazaux in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Rinderknech is the big underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He played great against Kecmanovic in the opening round. Fast clay courts are a perfect fit for his game; we expect him to keep this match tight.
That being said, Rinderknech covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Arthur Rinderknech +3.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Norrie – Machac: 21.05.2025 19:30 CEST
H2H: 1-0
Cameron Norrie has won four of his last five matches. This week in Geneva, the Brit qualified for the main draw tournament by winning both qualifying matches in straight sets. Norrie won against Stricker 7-6 6-3 in the opening main draw round.
Tomas Machac has lost three of his last five matches. His last match was in Rome, where he lost in the 1/16-Finals against Paul in three tight sets. Last season in Geneva, Machac finished as a runner-up, losing against Ruud in the final.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Machac is the slight favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. Machac has not had any remarkable results this season on clay. On the other hand, Norrie has already won three straight sets matches this week in Geneva, and we expect him to keep this match tight.
That being said, Norrie covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Cameron Norrie +2.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Andy Abeyta/The Desert Sun / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images
