ATP Masters 1000 Miami 1/32-Finals
Davidovich Fokina – Tiafoe: 22.03.2025 Time TBA
H2H: 1-2
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has won three of his last five matches. This week in Miami, the Spaniard won against Struff in straight sets. He was great under pressure, saving all seven breakpoints. Last season in Miami, Davidovich Fokina lost in the third round against Ruud.
Frances Tiafoe has lost three of his last five matches. His last match was in Indian Wells, where he lost in the third round against Watanuki. O’Connell upset him last season in the second round. Tiafoe has never made it past the quarterfinals here.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Davidovich Fokina is in great form and has already played two ATP finals this season. On the other hand, Tiafoe struggled throughout the whole season. We expect Davidovich Fokina to continue his winning form and win.
That being said, Davidovich Fokina winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina winning @1.91 @bet365
De Minaur – Bu: 22.03.2025 Time TBA
H2H: first meeting
Alex de Minaur has lost three of his last five matches. His last match was in Indian Wells, where Cerundolo upset him in the 1/8-Finals. Last season in Miami, de Minaur lost to Marozsan in the fourth round, which was also his biggest result.
Yunchaokete Bu has lost three of his last five matches. Bu upset Norrie in the opening round in straight sets this week in Miami. He served great, but he did not offer any breakpoints. Two weeks ago in Indian Wells, he lost against Medvedev in the second round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, de Minaur is the big favorite in this matchup, but we disagree. He struggled with his form for the last couple of weeks. On the other hand, Bu played brilliantly in the opening round against Norrie. We expect a tight match.
That being said, Bu winning at least one set is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Yunchaokete Bu +1.5 sets @2.35 @betathhome
Fils – Diallo: 22.03.2025 Time TBA
H2H: 1-1
Arthur Fils has won three of his last five matches. His last match was in Indian Wells, where he had a solid run. He was eventually stopped in the quarterfinals, losing to Medvedev in three tight sets.
Gabriel Diallo has won three of his last five matches. Diallo failed to qualify for the main draw tournament this week in Miami. However, with several players withdrawing from the tournament, Diallo entered the main draw as a lucky loser. Diallo won against Etcheverry in straight sets in the opening main draw round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Fils is the favorite in this matchup, and we agree. He is a prominent top-20 player and had a solid run last week in Indian Wells. We expect him to control the match and win easily.
That being said, Fils winning in straight sets is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Arthur Fils winning 2-0 @2.25 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Katie Stratman-USA TODAY Sports
