ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells 1/8-Finals
Paul – Medvedev: 12.03.2025 02:00 CEST
H2H: 1-3
Tommy Paul has won three of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, Paul won both matches in straight sets. In the second round, Norrie had no answer for Paul’s game. This is his sixth appearance in Indian Wells. The young American was stopped in the quarterfinals last season.
Daniil Medvedev has won four of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, Medvedev won the opening round match against Bu in straight sets. Michelsen retired mid-match in the second round against the Russian. Medvedev has played back-to-back finals in Indian Wells in 2023 and 2024.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Paul is the slight underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He dominated both matches this week. Medvedev has been struggling with his form for the last couple of months. We expect Paul to be a better player tonight.
That being said, Paul winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Tommy Paul winning @2.10 @bet365
Cerundolo – de Minaur: 12.03.2025 Time TBA
H2H: 0-1
Francisco Cerundolo has won four of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, Cerundolo defeated McDonald and Van de Zandschulp en route to the third round. It is his fourth appearance in Indian Wells. He was stopped in the third round last season against Shelton.
Alex de Minaur has won three of his last five matches. De Minaur defeated Goffin and Hurkacz en route to the third round this week in Indian Wells. It is his eighth appearance in Indian Wells. He has never made it past the fourth round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, de Minaur is the favorite in this matchup, and we agree. The young Australian is in great form. On the other hand, Cerundolo spent the last couple of weeks playing on clay. We expect de Minaur to be a better player.
That said, de Minaur winning in straight sets is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alex de Minaur winning 2-0 @1.73 @bet365
Nakashima – Shelton: 12.03.2025 Time TBA
H2H: 0-3
Brandon Nakashima has won four of his last five matches. He defeated Hijikata and Arnaldi en route to the third round. This will be his sixth appearance in Indian Wells. Nakashima was stopped in the second round last season in Indian Wells.
Ben Shelton has won three of his last five matches. It is his third appearance in Indian Wells. Shelton defeated Navone and Khachanov en route to the third round. He has never made it past the fourth round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Shelton is the slight favorite in this matchup, and we agree. He is a better player under pressure than Nakashima. Shelton leads 3-0 at head-to-head meetings. We expect him to prolong his winning streak and win against Nakashima in straight sets.
That being said, Shelton winning in straight sets is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Ben Shelton winning 2-0 @2.25 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports
