ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells 1/64-Finals
McDonald – Davidovich Fokina: 06.03.2025 22:00 CEST
H2H: 0-3
Mackenzie McDonald has won four of his last five matches. Last week in San Diego, McDonald reached the final at the Challenger tournament, losing against Spizzirri in three tight sets. It is his eighth appearance in Indian Wells. He has never made it past the second round.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Acapulco, Alejandro reached the final, where he lost against Machac in straight sets. It is his fifth appearance in Indian Wells. Last season, Alejandro was stopped in the second round, where he lost against Fils in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, McDonald is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. Alejandro has played consecutive finals and lost both of them. He will be emotionally and physically tired. We expect Mackenzie to keep this match tight with the help of the crowd.
That being said, McDonald covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Mackenzie McDonald +3.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Goffin – Sonego: 06.03.2025 23:30 CEST
H2H: 1-2
David Goffin has lost three of his last five matches. His last match was in Acapulco, where he lost against Nakashima in the quarterfinals. It is his eighth appearance in Indian Wells. He has never made it past the semifinals.
Lorenzo Sonego has lost three of his last five matches. His last match was in Dubai, where he lost against Tsitsipas in the opening round. It is his fifth appearance in Indian Wells. Last season, Sonego lost in the second round against Norrie in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Goffin is the slight underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. David played well in Acapulco. He is a more experienced player than Sonego, and we expect him to continue his solid form and win tonight.
That being said, Goffin winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: David Goffin winning @2.10 @bet365
Struff – Monfils: 06.03.2025 23:30 CEST
H2H: 0-3
Jan-Lennard Struff has lost three of his last five matches. His last match was in Dubai, where he lost in the opening round against Medvedev. This is his ninth appearance in Indian Wells. He has never made it past the fourth round.
Gael Monfils has won three of his last five matches. His last match was in Dubai, where he lost against Berrettini in the opening round. It is his sixteenth appearance in Indian Wells. The Frenchman has never made it past the quarterfinals.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Monfils is the slight favorite in this matchup, and we agree. Gael is one of the most experienced players on the tour and usually performs his best tennis in the opening stages when he is still fresh. On the other hand, Struff is in terrible form. We expect Monfils to prolong his winning streak against Struff tonight.
That being said, Monfils winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Gael Monfils winning @1.62 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
