ATP 500 Dallas 1/16-Finals
Davidovich Fokina – Holt: 03.02.2025 19:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has won three of his last five matches. The last match he played was in Melbourne two weeks ago, when he lost against Tommy Paul in the 1/8-Finals of the Australian Open in straight sets, as we had predicted. Last season was a disappointing season for Davidovich Fokina. He had no remarkable results and underperformed on every surface. It is his first appearance in Dallas. He usually played in Rotterdam. Last year in Rotterdam, Alejandro lost in the opening round against Struff in three tight sets.
Brandon Holt has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Cleveland, Holt withdrew from his 1/8-Final match at the Challenger tournament. A week before, Holt won the Challenger title in Thailand. In Dallas, Holt successfully qualified for the main draw tournament. Yesterday, in the final qualifying round, he defeated Seggerman in straight sets. It is his third appearance in Dallas. He has never made it past the first main draw round. Last season, Holt lost in the opening qualifying round against Marchenko.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Alejandro is the favorite in this matchup, but we disagree. Holt started this season well by winning the Challenger tournament. He has already won two qualifying matches in Dallas this week. We expect him to be competitive tonight and keep the match tight against Alejandro.
That being said, Holt covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Brandon Holt +3.5 games handicap @1.80 @bet365
Tiafoe – Daniel: 04.02.2025 02:00 CEST
H2H: 1-0
Frances Tiafoe has lost three of his last five matches. So far this season, Tiafoe played only in Brisbane and the Australian Open. Two weeks ago in Melbourne, Frances lost against Marozsan in the second round of the Australian Open. It is his fifth appearance in Dallas. He has never made it past the quarterfinals. Last season, Frances lost against Giron in the quarterfinals.
Taro Daniel has lost four straight matches. So far this season, He has played in three tournaments and lost in the opening rounds each time. In the Australian Open, Daniel lost in the opening round against Schoolkate in four tight sets. The former world number 58 is currently outside the top 100 in the rankings. His form has been terrible for the last couple of months. It is his third appearance in Dallas. Last year, Taro reached the second round, losing against Tommy Paul in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Tiafoe is the favorite in this matchup, and we agree. Taro has been winless for over two months. Both players are out of form, but Tiafoe is better than Daniel. We expect him to dominate tonight and win easily.
That being said, Tiafoe winning in straight sets is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Frances Tiafoe winning 2-0 @1.73 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports
