ATP 250 Adelaide 1/16-Finals
Hanfmann – Nakashima: 07.01.2025 04:30 CEST
H2H: 0-1
Yannick Hanfmann has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Brisbane, Hanfmann successfully qualified for the main draw tournament. However, in the opening main draw round, Yannick lost against Dimitrov in straight sets. Here in Adelaide, Yannick successfully qualified for the main draw tournament. Hanfmann defeated Gaston in three tight sets in the first qualifying round after losing the first set 3-6. In the final qualifying round, Yannick won against Guinard in straight sets. Last year in Adelaide, Hanfmann lost in the opening round against Sonego in three sets.
Brandon Nakashima has lost four straight matches. His last win was over two months ago in Vienna. His first tournament of the season was in Hong Kong last week. Brandon lost in the opening round against Sonego in straight sets. The young American hopes for a solid result this week to end his losing streak. Nakashima spent a lot of time last season on the Challenger Tour level, where he had decent results.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Nakashima is the big favorite in this match, but we disagree. He looked rusty in his opening match of the season against Sonego. On the other hand, Hanfmann has already played five matches this season and holds a winning 4-1 record. We believe that this match could go either way and that Yannick will keep it tight.
That being said, Hanfmann covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Yannick Hanfmann +3.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365
ATP 250 Adelaide 1/8-Finals
Davidovich Fokina – Korda: 08.01.2025 01:30 CEST
H2H: 0-2
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Hong Kong, Alejandro lost in the opening round against Jaume Munar in three tight sets. After comfortably winning the first set 6-4, Davidovich Fokina looked unserious on the court. He made too many unforced errors and looked disinterested. In Adelaide, Alejandro defeated Bautista-Agut in straight sets in the opening round. Around this time last year, Alejandro did not play any preparation tournaments besides the United Cup.
Sebastian Korda has lost three of his last five matches. The last match he played was at the US Open last August. Since then, Sebastian has not played any competitive matches. Korda underwent surgery on his right elbow, which is why he skipped the second part of the 2024 season. We are not sure if he is 100% ready at this moment. Last year in Adelaide, Korda reached the semifinals, losing against Lehecka in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Davidovich Fokina is the slight favorite in this matchup. As we previously mentioned, Korda has not played any competitive matches since the US Open 2024. A lot of time has passed, and we believe he will be far from his best level tomorrow. On the other hand, Alejandro played solidly yesterday against Bautista-Agut, so we expect him to continue in that fashion tomorrow.
That being said, Davidovich Fokina winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina winning @1.67 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports